Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38723058›Full record

Observational studyPLoS neglected tropical diseases2024

Mortality risk score for patients with Chagas cardiomyopathy and pacemaker.

Giselle de Lima Peixoto, Sérgio Freitas de Siqueira, Silvana Angelina D'Orio Nishioka, Anísio Alexandre Andrade Pedrosa, Ricardo Alkmim Teixeira, Roberto Costa, Martino Martinelli Filho

Erratum issuedAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Giselle de Lima PeixotoHeart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-3970-3558
Sérgio Freitas de SiqueiraHeart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil.
Silvana Angelina D'Orio NishiokaHeart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil.
Anísio Alexandre Andrade PedrosaHeart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil.
Ricardo Alkmim TeixeiraHeart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil.
Roberto CostaHeart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil.
Martino Martinelli FilhoHeart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil.

Funding

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São PauloMedtronic Company Brazil
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrognosis of Chronic Chagasic Cardiomyopathy (CCC) patients depends on functional and clinical factors. Bradyarrhythmia requiring pacemaker is a common complication. Prognosis of these patients is poorly studied, and mortality risk factors are unknown. We aimed to identify predictors of death and to define a risk score for mortality in a large cohort of CCC patients with pacemaker.

methodsIt was an observational, unicentric and prospective study. The endpoint was all-cause mortality. Cox regression was used to identify predictors of death and to define a risk score. Bootstrapping method was used to internal score validation.

resultsWe included 555 patients and after a mean follow-up of 3.7±1.5 years, 100 (18%) deaths occurred. Predictors of death were: right ventricular dysfunction (HR [hazard ratio] 2.24; 95%CI 1.41-3.53; P = 0.001); heart failure class III or IV (HR 2.16; 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.16-4.00; P = 0.014); renal disease (HR 2.14; 95%CI 1.24-3.68; P = 0.006); left ventricular end-systolic diameter > 44mm (HR 1.97; 95%CI 1.26-3.05; P = 0.003); atrial fibrillation (HR 1.94; 95%CI 1.25-2.99; P = 0.003) and cardiomegaly on X-ray (HR 1.87; 95%CI 1.10-3.17; P = 0.020). The score identified patients with: low (0-20 points), intermediate (21-30 points) and high risk (>31points). The optimism-corrected C-statistic of the predictive model was 0.751 (95% CI 0.696-0.806). Internal validation with bootstrapping revealed a calibration slope of 0.946 (95% CI 0.920-0.961), reflecting a small degree of over-optimism and C-statistic of 0.746 (95% CI 0.692-0.785).

conclusionsThis study identified predictors of mortality in CCC patients with pacemaker defining a simple, validated and specific risk score.

Indexed as

Chagas CardiomyopathyPacemaker, ArtificialAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID38723058
PMCPMC11164388

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.