Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38722406›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical monitoring and computing2024

Bayesian networks for Risk Assessment and postoperative deficit prediction in intraoperative neurophysiology for brain surgery.

Ana Mirallave Pescador, José Pedro Lavrador, Arjel Lejarde, Cristina Bleil, Francesco Vergani, Alba Díaz Baamonde, Christos Soumpasis, Ranjeev Bhangoo, Ahilan Kailaya-Vasan, Christos M Tolias and 3 more

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Article in Journal of clinical monitoring and computing, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Ana Mirallave PescadorDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England. a.mirallave-pescador@nhs.net.
José Pedro LavradorDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Arjel LejardeDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Cristina BleilDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Francesco VerganiDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Alba Díaz BaamondeDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Christos SoumpasisDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Ranjeev BhangooDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Ahilan Kailaya-VasanDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Christos M ToliasDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Keyoumars AshkanDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Bassel ZebianDepartment of Neurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, ISIN AI Committee Chair, London, England.
Jesús Requena CarriónSchool of Electronic Engineering and Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, London, England.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo this day there is no consensus regarding evidence of usefulness of Intraoperative Neurophysiological Monitoring (IONM). Randomized controlled trials have not been performed in the past mainly because of difficulties in recruitment control subjects. In this study, we propose the use of Bayesian Networks to assess evidence in IONM.

methodsSingle center retrospective study from January 2020 to January 2022. Patients admitted for cranial neurosurgery with intraoperative neuromonitoring were enrolled. We built a Bayesian Network with utility calculation using expert domain knowledge based on logistic regression as potential causal inference between events in surgery that could lead to central nervous system injury and postoperative neurological function.

resultsA total of 267 patients were included in the study: 198 (73.9%) underwent neuro-oncology surgery and 69 (26.1%) neurovascular surgery. 50.7% of patients were female while 49.3% were male. Using the Bayesian Network´s original state probabilities, we found that among patients who presented with a reversible signal change that was acted upon, 59% of patients would wake up with no new neurological deficits, 33% with a transitory deficit and 8% with a permanent deficit. If the signal change was permanent, in 16% of the patients the deficit would be transitory and in 51% it would be permanent. 33% of patients would wake up with no new postoperative deficit. Our network also shows that utility increases when corrective actions are taken to revert a signal change.

conclusionsBayesian Networks are an effective way to audit clinical practice within IONM. We have found that IONM warnings can serve to prevent neurological deficits in patients, especially when corrective surgical action is taken to attempt to revert signals changes back to baseline properties. We show that Bayesian Networks could be used as a mathematical tool to calculate the utility of conducting IONM, which could save costs in healthcare when performed.

Indexed as

Intraoperative Neurophysiological MonitoringNervous System DiseasesNeurosurgical ProceduresPostoperative ComplicationsAdolescentAdultAgedBayes TheoremChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornLogistic ModelsMaleBayesian networksIntraoperative neuromonitoringIONMRisk analysis

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.