Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38717826›Full record

ArticleGlobal health action2024

Estimation of cause-specific mortality in Rakai, Uganda, using verbal autopsy 1999-2019.

Dorean Nabukalu, Júlia Almeida Calazans, Milly Marston, Clara Calvert, Hadijja Nakawooya, Brendah Nansereko, Robert Sekubugu, Gertrude Nakigozi, David Serwadda, Nelson Sewankambo and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global health action, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Dorean NabukaluData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.ORCID 0000-0002-2680-0669
Júlia Almeida CalazansCentre for Demographic Studies (CED), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-6215-3251
Milly MarstonPopulation Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Clara CalvertUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3272-1040
Hadijja NakawooyaData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Brendah NanserekoData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Robert SekubuguData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Gertrude NakigoziData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
David SerwaddaData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Nelson SewankamboData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Godfrey KigoziData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Ronald H GrayEpidemiology and International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, USA.
Fred NalugodaData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Fredrick MakumbiData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Tom LutaloData management, Rakai Health Sciences Program, Rakai, Uganda.
Jim ToddPopulation Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5918-4914

Funding

Male Circumcision Trial for HIV Prevention, Rakai-UgandaU01AI051171 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2002 to 2006
$8.9M
ARV effects on HIV epidemiology &behaviors Rakai UgandaR01HD050180 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI WAWER, MARIA J · 2005 to 2009
$7.8M
Prevention and Planning LinkagesR01HD072695 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SANTELLI, JOHN S. · 2012 to 2016
$2.2M
Multidisciplinary Research Training to Understand and Reduce HIV Incidence in UgandaD43TW010557 · FIC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, LARRY WILLIAM · 2018 to 2022
$1.6M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW010557NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI051171NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD050180NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD072695
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere are scant data on the causes of adult deaths in sub-Saharan Africa. We estimated the level and trends in adult mortality, overall and by different causes, in rural Rakai, Uganda, by age, sex, and HIV status.

objectivesTo estimate and analyse adult cause-specific mortality trends in Rakai, Uganda. METHODOLOGY: Mortality information by cause, age, sex, and HIV status was recorded in the Rakai Community Cohort study using verbal autopsy interviews, HIV serosurveys, and residency data. We estimated the average number of years lived in adulthood. Using demographic decomposition methods, we estimated the contribution of each cause of death to adult mortality based on the average number of years lived in adulthood.

resultsBetween 1999 and 2019, 63082 adults (15-60 years) were censused, with 1670 deaths registered. Of these, 1656 (99.2%) had completed cause of death data from verbal autopsy. The crude adult death rate was 5.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 5.33-5.87) per 1000 person-years of observation (pyo). The crude death rate decreased from 11.41 (95% CI: 10.61-12.28) to 3.27 (95% CI: 2.89-3.68) per 1000 pyo between 1999-2004 and 2015-2019. The average number of years lived in adulthood increased in people living with HIV and decreased in HIV-negative individuals between 2000 and 2019. Communicable diseases, primarily HIV and Malaria, had the biggest decreases, which improved the average number of years lived by approximately extra 12 years of life in females and 6 years in males. There were increases in deaths due to non-communicable diseases and external causes, which reduced the average number of years lived in adulthood by 2.0 years and 1.5 years in females and males, respectively.

conclusionThere has been a significant decline in overall mortality from 1999 to 2019, with the greatest decline seen in people living with HIV since the availability of antiretroviral therapy in 2004. By 2020, the predominant causes of death among females were non-communicable diseases, with external causes of death dominating in males.

Indexed as

AutopsyCause of DeathHIV InfectionsAdolescentAdultCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityRural PopulationUgandaYoung Adultadult mortalitycause of deathhealth and demographic surveillance sitesUgandaVerbal autopsy

Identifiers

PMID38717826
PMCPMC11080674

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.