Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38712011›Full record

ArticleTherapeutic advances in gastrointestinal endoscopy

Development and validation of machine learning models to predict the need for haemostatic therapy in acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

Scarlet Nazarian, Frank Po Wen Lo, Jianing Qiu, Nisha Patel, Benny Lo, Lakshmana Ayaru

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Article in Therapeutic advances in gastrointestinal endoscopy. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Artificial intelligence in clinical thrombosis and hemostasis: A review.Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis · 2025
    Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Scarlet NazarianDepartment of Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1409-5253
Frank Po Wen LoHamlyn Centre, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Jianing QiuHamlyn Centre, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Nisha PatelDepartment of Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Benny LoDepartment of Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Lakshmana AyaruDepartment of Gastroenterology, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0HS, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. This presentation however is not universally high risk as only 20-30% of bleeds require urgent haemostatic therapy. Nevertheless, the current standard of care is for all patients admitted to an inpatient bed to undergo endoscopy within 24 h for risk stratification which is invasive, costly and difficult to achieve in routine clinical practice. Objectives: To develop novel non-endoscopic machine learning models for AUGIB to predict the need for haemostatic therapy by endoscopic, radiological or surgical intervention. Design: A retrospective cohort study. Method: We analysed data from patients admitted with AUGIB to hospitals from 2015 to 2020 ( Results: The random forest classifier [AUROC 0.84 (0.80-0.87)] had the best performance and was superior to the GBS [AUROC 0.75 (0.72-0.78), Conclusion: We developed and validated a machine learning algorithm with high accuracy and specificity in predicting the need for haemostatic therapy in AUGIB. This could be used to risk stratify high-risk patients to urgent endoscopy.

Indexed as

endoscopygastrointestinal bleedingmachine learningprediction

Identifiers

PMID38712011
PMCPMC11071626

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.