Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38711788›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2024

HIV-1 transmission dynamics among people who inject drugs on the US/Mexico border during the COVID-19 pandemic: a prosepective cohort study.

Britt Skaathun, Steffanie A Strathdee, Cho-Hee Shrader, Carrie L Nacht, Annick Borquez, Irina Artamonova, Alicia Harvey-Vera, Carlos F Vera, Gudelia Rangel, Caroline Ignacio and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. HIV Transmission Dynamics in Greater Mexico City are Shaped by Dense Spatial Mixing.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Britt SkaathunDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Steffanie A StrathdeeDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Cho-Hee ShraderDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University, 116th and Broadway, New York, NY 10027, United States.
Carrie L NachtHerbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Annick BorquezDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Irina ArtamonovaDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Alicia Harvey-VeraDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Carlos F VeraDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Gudelia RangelU.S.-Mexico Border Health Commission, Paseo del Centenario 10851, Zona Urbana Rio Tijuana, Tijuana, BC 22320, Mexico.
Caroline IgnacioDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Brendon WoodworthDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Antoine ChaillonDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Tetyana I VasylyevaDepartment of Population Health and Disease Prevention, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA 92617, United States.

Funding

VIRAL MALIGNANCYP30CA023100 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI DIANE M SIMEONE · 1985 to 2026
$124.9M
VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SUSAN JANET LITTLE · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Project-004P01AI169609 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI David Mitchell Smith · 2022 to 2026
$10.6M
Training Program in Substance Use, HIV and Related InfectionsT32DA023356 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Natasha Martin, Steffanie A Strathdee · 2007 to 2026
$7.8M
Substance Abuse Epidemiology Training Program (SAETP) at Columbia UniversityT32DA031099 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI DEBORAH S HASIN, Silvia Saboia Martins · 2012 to 2026
$6.1M
Global HIV Implementation Science Research Training Grant RenewalT32AI114398 · NIAID · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Yael R Hirsch-Moverman · 2014 to 2026
$4.1M
Brain Myeloid Cells are Sources of HIV-associated Damage and Viral DispersalR01DA055491 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI CHAILLON, ANTOINE · 2021 to 2025
$3.6M
Automation and Evaluation of Real-Time Transmission Network-Based HIV Prevention Services in New York CityR01AI135992 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI WERTHEIM, JOEL OKRENT · 2018 to 2022
$3.6M
Real-time prediction of emerging drug use epidemics in the United StatesDP2DA049295 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI BORQUEZ, ANNICK · 2019 to 2019
$2.4M
Leveraging Networks, Epidemiology, and Epidemic Modeling: Creative Approaches for HIV EliminationK01DA049665 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SKAATHUN, BRITT · 2019 to 2023
$947k
Social networks and STIs as an indicator of potential HIV transmission and acquisition among PWIDR03DA057142 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SKAATHUN, BRITT · 2022 to 2023
$316k
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA023100NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI169609NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI135992NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI114398NIDA NIH HHS DP2 DA049295NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA049665NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA055491NIDA NIH HHS R03 DA057142NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA023356NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA031099
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: We examined HIV prevalence and transmission dynamics among people who inject drugs in the U.S./Mexico border region during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: People who inject drugs aged ≥18 years from 3 groups were recruited: people who inject drugs who live in San Diego (SD) and engaged in cross-border drug use in Tijuana, Mexico (SD CBDUs), and people who inject drugs in SD and Tijuana (TJ) who did not engage in cross-border drug use (NCBDUs). We computed HIV prevalence at baseline and bivariate incidence-density rates (IR) at 18-month follow-up. Bayesian phylogenetic analysis was used to identify local transmission clusters, estimate their age, and effective reproductive number (Re) over time within the clusters. Findings: At baseline (n = 612), 26% of participants were female, 9% engaged in sex work, and HIV prevalence was 8% (4% SD CBDU, 4% SD NCBDU, 16% TJ NCBDU). Nine HIV seroconversions occurred over 18 months, IR: 1.357 per 100 person-years (95% CI: 0.470, 2.243); 7 in TJ NCBDU and 2 in SD CBDU. Out of 16 identified phylogenetic clusters, 9 (56%) had sequences from both the U.S. and Mexico (mixed-country). The age of three youngest mixed-country dyads (2018-2021) overlapped with the COVID-related US-Mexico border closure in 2020. One large mixed-country cluster (N = 15) continued to grow during the border closure (Re = 4.8, 95% Highest Posterior Density (HPD) 1.5-9.1) with 47% engaging in sex work. Interpretation: Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic and the border closure, cross-border HIV clusters grew. Efforts to end the HIV epidemic in the U.S. should take into account cross-border HIV-1 transmission from Tijuana. Mobile harm reduction services and coordination with municipal HIV programs to initiate anti-retroviral therapy and pre-exposure prophylaxisis are needed to reduce transmission. Funding: This research was supported by the James B. Pendleton Charitable Trust and the San Diego Center for AIDS Research.

Indexed as

Cross-border transmissionHIVPeople who inject drugsPhylodynamicsTijuana

Identifiers

PMID38711788
PMCPMC11070707

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.