Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38698324›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2024

Direct impact of COVID-19 vaccination in Chile: averted cases, hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths.

Antoine Brault, Andrew Hart, Paula Uribe, Jorge Prado, Jaime San Martín, Alejandro Maass, Mauricio Canals

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Antoine Brault *Centro de Modelamiento Matemático, Universidad de Chile and CNRS IRL2807, Santiago, Chile. abrault@pasteur.fr.
Andrew Hart *Centro de Modelamiento Matemático, Universidad de Chile and CNRS IRL2807, Santiago, Chile. ahart@Dim.uchile.cl.
Paula UribeCentro de Modelamiento Matemático, Universidad de Chile and CNRS IRL2807, Santiago, Chile.
Jorge PradoCentro de Modelamiento Matemático, Universidad de Chile and CNRS IRL2807, Santiago, Chile.
Jaime San MartínCentro de Modelamiento Matemático, Universidad de Chile and CNRS IRL2807, Santiago, Chile.
Alejandro MaassCentro de Modelamiento Matemático, Universidad de Chile and CNRS IRL2807, Santiago, Chile.
Mauricio CanalsDepartamento de Medicina (O) y Programa de Salud Ambiental, Facultad de Medicina, Escuela de Salud Pública, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.

Funding

Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo COVID0960Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo - Millennium Science Initiative Program - ICN2021_044Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo postdoctoral fellowship 3200116
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChile rapidly implemented an extensive COVID-19 vaccination campaign, deploying a diversity of vaccines with a strategy that prioritized the elderly and individuals with comorbidities. This study aims to assess the direct impact of vaccination on the number of COVID-19 related cases, hospital admissions, ICU admissions and deaths averted during the first year and a half of the campaign.

methodsVia Chile's transparency law, we obtained access to weekly event counts categorized by vaccination status and age. Integrating this data with publicly available census and vaccination coverage information, we conducted a comparative analysis of weekly incidence rates between vaccinated and unvaccinated groups from December 20, 2020 to July 2, 2022 to estimate the direct impact of vaccination in terms of the number of cases, hospitalizations, ICU admissions and deaths averted, using an approach that avoids the need to explicitly specify the effectiveness of each vaccine deployed.

resultsWe estimated that, from December 20, 2020 to July 2, 2022 the vaccination campaign directly prevented 1,030,648 (95% Confidence Interval: 1,016,975-1,044,321) cases, 268,784 (95% CI: 264,524-273,045) hospitalizations, 85,830 (95% CI: 83,466-88,194) ICU admissions and 75,968 (95% CI: 73,909-78,028) deaths related to COVID-19 among individuals aged 16 years and older. This corresponds to a reduction of 26% of cases, 66% of hospital admissions, 70% of ICU admissions and 67% of deaths compared to a scenario without vaccination. Individuals 55 years old or older represented 67% of hospitalizations, 73% of ICU admissions and 89% of deaths related to COVID-19 prevented.

conclusionsThis study highlights the role of Chile's vaccination campaign in reducing COVID-19 disease burden, with the most substantial reductions observed in severe outcomes.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesHospitalizationIntensive Care UnitsAdolescentAdultAgedChildChileFemaleHumansImmunization ProgramsIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSARS-CoV-2COVID-19 VaccinesAverted eventsCases avertedCOVID-19Deaths avertedHospitalizations avertedICU admissions avertedSARS-CoV-2Vaccine

Identifiers

PMID38698324
PMCPMC11067253

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.