ArticleJournal of travel medicine2024
Discrepancies in dengue burden estimates: a comparative analysis of reported cases and global burden of disease study, 2010-2019.
Article in Journal of travel medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.
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Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed.
- Global, Regional, and National Burden of Malaria and Dengue from 1992 to 2021, with Projections to 2036: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2026Article
- Diagnostic performance of the Dengue NS1 Ag Rapid Test during early-stage infections at epidemic-affected health care facilities in northeastern and eastern Ethiopia.IJID regions · 2026Article
- A secretion-deficient DENV1 DNA vaccine induces durable immunity and confers protection against DENV2.Zoological research · 2026Article
- Article
- Burden of disease and trend of osteoporotic fall-related hip fractures in Ecuador: findings from the global burden disease 2021.Archives of osteoporosis · 2025Article
- A Review of the Changing Global Impact of Arthropod-Borne Virus Diseases and Recent Initiatives from the World Health Organization.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2025Review
- Seroprevalence of dengue in the general population of a Chinese southwestern border city: a community-based cross-sectional study.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- The burden of dengue fever in travellers: a systematic literature review.New microbes and new infections · 2025Review
- Dengue Epidemiology in 7 Southeast Asian Countries: 24-Year, Retrospective, Multicountry Ecological Study.Interactive journal of medical research · 2025Article
- Enhancing regional disease burden estimates: insights from the comparison of Global Burden of Disease and China's notifiable infectious diseases data with policy implications (2010-2020).Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- Zoonotic diseases in China: epidemiological trends, incidence forecasting, and comparative analysis between real-world surveillance data and Global Burden of Disease 2021 estimates.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- A comprehensive overview of the burden, prevention, and therapeutic aspects of arboviral diseases in India.Communications medicine · 2025Review
- Vaccination strategies, public health impact and cost-effectiveness of dengue vaccine TAK-003: A modeling case study in Thailand.PLoS medicine · 2025Article
- Detection of DENV in Aedes albopictus during the 2024 sporadic dengue outbreak in Wuhan city, Hubei Province, China.Virology journal · 2025Article
- Global, Regional, and National Burden of Breast Cancer, 1990-2021, and Projections to 2050: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.Thoracic cancer · 2025Article
- Review
- Global, regional, and national burden of infective endocarditis from 2010 to 2021 and predictions for the next five years: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Serotype-specific epidemiological patterns of inapparent versus symptomatic primary dengue virus infections: a 17-year cohort study in Nicaragua.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Discrepancies in neglected tropical diseases burden estimates in China: comparative study of real-world data and Global Burden of Disease 2021 data (2004-2020).BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2025Article
- Exposure to Dengue Virus During Pregnancy: Incidence and Impact on Maternal and Child Outcomes.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2025Article
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5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundDengue is a significant mosquito-borne disease. Several studies have utilized estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study to assess the global, regional or national burden of dengue over time. However, our recent investigation suggests that GBD's estimates for dengue cases in Taiwan are unrealistically high. The current study extends the scope to compare reported dengue cases with GBD estimates across 30 high-burden countries and territories, aiming to assess the accuracy and interpretability of the GBD's dengue estimates.
methodsData for this study were sourced from the GBD 2019 study and various national and international databases documenting reported dengue cases. The analysis targeted the top 30 countries and territories with the highest 10-year average of reported cases from 2010 to 2019. Discrepancies were quantified by computing absolute differences and ratios between the 10-year average of reported cases and GBD estimates. Coefficients of variation (CV) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess variations and trends in the two data sources.
resultsSignificant discrepancies were noted between reported data and GBD estimates in the number of dengue cases, incidence rates, and EAPCs. GBD estimates were substantially higher than reported cases for many entities, with the most notable differences found in China (570.0-fold), India (303.0-fold), Bangladesh (115.4-fold), Taiwan (85.5-fold) and Indonesia (23.2-fold). Furthermore, the GBD's estimates did not accurately reflect the extensive yearly fluctuations in dengue outbreaks, particularly in non-endemic regions such as Taiwan, China and Argentina, as evidenced by high CVs.
conclusionsThis study reveals substantial discrepancies between GBD estimates and reported dengue cases, underscoring the imperative for comprehensive analysis in areas with pronounced disparities. The failure of GBD estimates to represent the considerable annual fluctuations in dengue outbreaks highlights the critical need for improvement in disease burden estimation methodologies for dengue.
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