Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38696115›Full record

ArticleClinical rheumatology2024

Burden evaluation and prediction of osteoarthritis and site-specific osteoarthritis coupled with attributable risk factors in China from 1990 to 2030.

Zhuowen Hao, Ying Wang, Linlong Wang, Qinyu Feng, Hanke Li, Tianhong Chen, Jiayao Chen, Junwu Wang, Guang Shi, Renxin Chen and 4 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Clinical rheumatology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Zhuowen Hao *Department of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Ying Wang *Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, Hubei Province, China.
Linlong Wang *Department of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Qinyu FengDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Hanke LiDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Tianhong ChenDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Jiayao ChenDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Junwu WangDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Guang ShiDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Renxin ChenDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Beihai LiDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China.
Shuanhu ZhouDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 01125, USA. shuanhuzhou@gmail.com.
Wei JinDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China. 907821033@qq.com.
Jingfeng LiDepartment of Orthopedics, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei Province, China. jingfengli@whu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2737-972X
Wuhan University · CNBrigham and Women's Hospital · US

Funding

the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities 2042023kf0199
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aimed to estimate and predict the burden of osteoarthritis (OA) and site-specific OA (hip, knee, hand, and others) from 1990 to 2030 and their attributable risk factors in China.

methodData were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019. The burden was estimated by analyzing the trends of prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY). Population attributable risk (PAR) was calculated to assess the impact of high body mass index (BMI). The prediction from 2020 to 2030 was implemented by Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis.

resultsIn China, prevalent cases, DALY, and incident cases of OA increased to 132.81 million, 4.72 million, and 10.68 million, respectively. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) of prevalence, DALYs, and incidence increased for OA and site-specific OA, especially for hip OA. Site-specific OA showed different susceptible peaking ages, and the burden for those over 50 years old became serious. Female preference existed in the trends for knee OA but not in those for hip, hand, and other OA. PARs of high BMI continued to increase, impacting knee OA more than hip OA and showing female preference. In the next decade, incident cases for OA and site-specific OA will continue to increase, despite that the ASR of OA incidence will decrease.

conclusionsOA and site-specific OA remain huge public health challenges in China. The burden of OA and site-specific OA is increasing, especially among people over 50 years old. Health education, exercise, and removing modifiable risk factors contribute to alleviate the growing burden. Key Points • In China, the burden of osteoarthritis and site-specific osteoarthritis (hip, knee, hand, and others) as well as the Risk Factor (high body mass index) increased greatly from 1990 to 2019. • It is estimated that incident cases for OA and site-specific OA will continue to increase, despite that the ASR of OA incidence will decrease.

Indexed as

OsteoarthritisAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBayes TheoremBody Mass IndexChinaCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedChinaDisease burdenEpidemiologyOsteoarthritisPredictionSite-specific osteoarthritis

Identifiers

PMID38696115
OpenAlexW4396599125

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.