The initial molecular response predicts the deep molecular response but not treatment-free remission maintenance in a real-world chronic myeloid leukemia cohort.

In chronic myeloid leukemia, the identification of early molecular predictors of stable treatment-free remission (TFR) after tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) discontinuation is challenging. The predictive values of residual disease (BCR::ABL1 quantification) at month 3 and 6 and more recently, BCR::ABL1 transcript halving time (HT) have been described, but no study compared the predictive value of different early parameters. Using a real-world cohort of 408 patients, we compared the performance of the EUTOS long-term survival (ELTS) score, BCR::ABL1 HT, and residual disease at month 3 and 6 to predict the molecular response, achievement of the TKI discontinuation criteria, and TFR maintenance. The performances of BCR::ABL1 HT and residual disease at month 3 were similar. Residual disease at month 6 displayed the best performance for predicting the optimal response (area under the ROC curve between 0.81 and 0.92; cut-off values: 0.11% for MR4 at month 24 and 0.12% for MR4.5 at month 48). Conversely, no early parameter predicted reaching the TKI discontinuation criteria and TFR maintenance. We obtained similar results when patients were divided in subgroups by first-line treatment (imatinib vs. second-generation TKI [2G-TKI]). We identified a relationship between ELTS score, earlier milestones and TFR maintenance only in the 2G-TKI group. In conclusion, this first comparative study of early therapeutic response parameters showed that they are excellent indicators of TKI efficacy (BCR::ABL1 transcript reduction) and best responders. Conversely, they did not predict the achievement of the TKI discontinuation criteria and TFR maintenance, suggesting that other parameters are involved in TFR maintenance.