Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38691816›Full record

ArticleJCO precision oncology2024

Serial Postoperative Circulating Tumor DNA Assessment Has Strong Prognostic Value During Long-Term Follow-Up in Patients With Breast Cancer.

Jacqueline A Shaw, Karen Page, Evie Wren, Elza C de Bruin, Ekaterina Kalashnikova, Robert Hastings, Rob McEwen, Eddie Zhang, Marc Wadsley, Emmanuel Acheampong and 21 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JCO precision oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 49 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
11.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Detection of Circulating Tumor DNA Using a Tissue-Free Epigenomic Assay Is a Highly Prognostic Biomarker in Early-Stage Triple-Negative Breast Cancer.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors at 8 institutions in 4 countries.

Jacqueline A ShawLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4227-503X
Karen PageLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-0440-9244
Evie WrenDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0009-0008-3361-0274
Elza C de BruinOncology R&D, Research & Early Development, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Ekaterina KalashnikovaOncology R&D, Research & Early Development, AstraZeneca, Waltham, MA.ORCID 0000-0003-1078-0656
Robert HastingsLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.
Rob McEwenOncology R&D, Research & Early Development, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Eddie ZhangOncology R&D, Research & Early Development, AstraZeneca, Waltham, MA.
Marc WadsleyLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7014-2595
Emmanuel AcheampongLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5338-3258
Derek RennerNatera, Inc, Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-1349-8050
Kelly L T GleasonDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Bana AmbasagerDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Daniel StetsonOncology R&D, Research & Early Development, AstraZeneca, Waltham, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-3961-2739
Daniel Fernandez-GarciaLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.
David GutteryLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.
Rebecca C AllsoppLeicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4887-8632
Angel RodriguezNatera, Inc, Austin, TX.
Bernhard ZimmermannNatera, Inc, Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-5275-4571
Himanshu SethiNatera, Inc, Austin, TX.
Alexey AleshinNatera, Inc, Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-0425-0301
Minetta C LiuNatera, Inc, San Carlos, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-8206-5232
Cathy RichardsUniversity Hospitals Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8329-0730
Justin StebbingDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1117-6947
Simak AliDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1320-0816
Farah RehmanImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3879-315X
Susan CleatorImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3859-7888
Laura KennyDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4752-3242
Samreen AhmedUniversity Hospitals Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, United Kingdom.
Anne C ArmstrongDivision of Cancer Sciences, The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, United Kingdom.
R Charles CoombesDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4811-1100
University of Leicester · GBImperial College London · GBNatera (United States) · USAstraZeneca (South Korea) · KRAstraZeneca (United Kingdom) · GBImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust · GBUniversity Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust · GBThe Christie NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UKNational Institute for Health Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeHere, we report the sensitivity of a personalized, tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay (Signatera) for detection of molecular relapse during long-term follow-up of patients with breast cancer.

methodsA total of 156 patients with primary breast cancer were monitored clinically for up to 12 years after surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. Semiannual blood samples were prospectively collected, and analyzed retrospectively to detect residual disease by ultradeep sequencing using ctDNA assays, developed from primary tumor whole-exome sequencing data.

resultsPersonalized Signatera assays detected ctDNA ahead of clinical or radiologic relapse in 30 of the 34 patients who relapsed (patient-level sensitivity of 88.2%). Relapse was predicted with a lead interval of up to 38 months (median, 10.5 months; range, 0-38 months), and ctDNA positivity was associated with shorter relapse-free survival (

conclusionSerial postoperative ctDNA assessment has strong prognostic value, provides a potential window for earlier therapeutic intervention, and may enable more effective monitoring than current clinical tests such as cancer antigen 15-3. Our study provides evidence that those with serially negative ctDNA tests have superior clinical outcomes, providing reassurance to patients with breast cancer. For select cases with HR+ disease, decisions about treatment management might require serial monitoring despite the ctDNA-positive result.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsCirculating Tumor DNAAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisRetrospective StudiesCirculating Tumor DNA

Identifiers

PMID38691816
PMCPMC11161241
OpenAlexW4396569624

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.