Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38691613›Full record

ArticleScience advances2024

Evaluating bias and noise induced by the U.S. Census Bureau's privacy protection methods.

Christopher T Kenny, Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki, Tyler Simko, Kosuke Imai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The 2020 US Decennial Census is more private than you (might) think.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  2. The shortcomings of synthetic census microdata.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Census officials must constructively engage with independent evaluations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Christopher T KennyDepartment of Government, Harvard University, 1737 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9386-6860
Cory McCartanCenter for Data Science, New York University, New York, NY 10011, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6251-669X
Shiro KuriwakiDepartment of Political Science and Institution for Social and Policy Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5687-2647
Tyler SimkoDepartment of Government, Harvard University, 1737 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9382-7346
Kosuke ImaiDepartment of Government, Harvard University, 1737 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2748-1022

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The U.S. Census Bureau faces a difficult trade-off between the accuracy of Census statistics and the protection of individual information. We conduct an independent evaluation of bias and noise induced by the Bureau's two main disclosure avoidance systems: the TopDown algorithm used for the 2020 Census and the swapping algorithm implemented for the three previous Censuses. Our evaluation leverages the Noisy Measurement File (NMF) as well as two independent runs of the TopDown algorithm applied to the 2010 decennial Census. We find that the NMF contains too much noise to be directly useful without measurement error modeling, especially for Hispanic and multiracial populations. TopDown's postprocessing reduces the NMF noise and produces data whose accuracy is similar to that of swapping. While the estimated errors for both TopDown and swapping algorithms are generally no greater than other sources of Census error, they can be relatively substantial for geographies with small total populations.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBiasCensusesHumansPrivacyUnited States

Identifiers

PMID38691613
PMCPMC11062570

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.