Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38690705›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2024

Self-Administration of Aspirin After Chest Pain for the Prevention of Premature Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States: A Population-Based Analysis.

Rienna G Russo, Daniel Wikler, Kazem Rahimi, Goodarz Danaei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rienna G RussoDepartment of Epidemiology Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health Harvard University Boston MA.ORCID 0000-0003-4502-9360
Daniel WiklerDepartment of Global Health and Population Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health Harvard University Boston MA.ORCID 0000-0001-9760-0309
Kazem RahimiNuffield Department of Women's & Reproductive Health Oxford Martin School University of Oxford Oxford UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4807-4610
Goodarz DanaeiDepartment of Epidemiology Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health Harvard University Boston MA.ORCID 0000-0003-2456-5463

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAspirin, an effective, low-cost pharmaceutical, can significantly reduce mortality if used promptly after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, many AMI survivors do not receive aspirin within a few hours of symptom onset. Our aim was to quantify the mortality benefit of self-administering aspirin at chest pain onset, considering the increased risk of bleeding and costs associated with widespread use. METHODS AND

resultsWe developed a population simulation model to determine the impact of self-administering 325 mg aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset. We created a synthetic cohort of adults ≥ 40 years old experiencing severe chest pain using 2019 US population estimates, AMI incidence, and sensitivity/specificity of chest pain for AMI. The number of annual deaths delayed was estimated using evidence from a large, randomized trial. We also estimated the years of life saved (YOLS), costs, and cost per YOLS. Initiating aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset delayed 13 016 (95% CI, 11 643-14 574) deaths annually, after accounting for deaths due to bleeding (963; 926-1003). This translated to an estimated 166 309 YOLS (149391-185 505) at the cost of $643 235 (633 944-653 010) per year, leading to a cost-effectiveness ratio of $3.70 (3.32-4.12) per YOLS.

conclusionsFor <$4 per YOLS, self-administration of aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset has the potential to save 13 000 lives per year in the US population. Benefits of reducing deaths post-AMI outweighed the risk of bleeding deaths from aspirin 10 times over.

Indexed as

AspirinChest PainPlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsAdultAgedCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHemorrhageHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortality, PrematureMyocardial InfarctionSelf AdministrationTime FactorsUnited StatesAspirinPlatelet Aggregation Inhibitorsaspirincardiovascular diseasemyocardial infarctionprevention

Identifiers

PMID38690705
PMCPMC11255618

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.