ArticleVeterinary world2024
Analysis of environmental factors influencing lumpy skin disease outbreak seasonality and assessment of its spread risk in the Saratovskaya oblast of Russia.
Article in Veterinary world, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate-driven shifts in lumpy skin disease risk across Iran: Insights from ensemble species distribution models.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- The global scenario of lumpy skin disease, its epidemiological investigation, and prevalence in livestock: A review.Veterinary and animal science · 2026Review
- Spatial Risk Distribution of Lumpy Skin Disease in Thailand Based on Maximum-Entropy Modeling.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Integrating Serological and Genomic Data to Elucidate Lumpy Skin Disease Virus Diversity in Cattle from Bangladesh.Viruses · 2025Article
- Lumpy skin disease: A growing threat to the global livestock industry.Open veterinary journal · 2025Review
- Spatiotemporal Distribution and Meteorological Determinants of Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD) Occurrence in Bangladesh From 2020 to 2023.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
Background and Aim: Lumpy skin disease (LSD) is a transboundary viral disease of cattle that causes serious economic losses due to a significant decrease in meat and milk productivity. This study analyzed the influence of natural and anthropogenic environmental factors on LSD spread seasonality and assessed the risk of LSD outbreaks in the Saratovskaya oblast of the Russian Federation. Materials and Methods: Data on LSD outbreaks and environmental factors during different seasons were collected for the period 2011-2020 in the Balkan Peninsula, Middle East, and Russia. Risk assessment was performed using mathematical modeling with generalized linear regression and maximum entropy. Results: Fourteen statistically significant environmental factors influencing LSD spread were identified. The analysis of MaxEnt models built using the selected factors showed that the presence of the pathogen is mostly exerted by: the density of susceptible cattle (an increased risk is observed at a density above 10 and 20 heads/10 km Conclusion: LSD tends to spread during the warm season. Compared with other test zones, the Saratovskaya oblast has a negligible risk of disease spread (in winter), low risk (in spring), or medium risk (in summer and autumn). The annual risk is low to medium.
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