ArticleClinical rheumatology2024
Prediction model for developing neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus in lupus patients.
Article in Clinical rheumatology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 citations in OpenAlex.
- Comprehensive analysis of predictive models for disease manifestations and case fatality in systemic lupus erythematosus.NPJ digital medicine · 2026Review
- Neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus subtypes identified by unsupervised clustering: A single-center cohort study.Rheumatology and immunology research · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveThis study aimed to construct a predictive model for assessing the risk of development of neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus (NPSLE) among patients with SLE based on clinical, laboratory, and meteorological data.
methodsA total of 2232 SLE patients were included and were randomly assigned into training and validation sets. Variables such as clinical and laboratory data and local meteorological data were screened by univariate and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression modelling. After 10-fold cross-validation, the predictive model was built by multivariate logistic regression, and a nomogram was constructed to visualize the risk of NPSLE. The efficacy and accuracy of the model were assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve analysis. Net clinical benefit was assessed by decision curve analysis.
resultsVariables that were included in the predictive model were anti-dsDNA, anti-SSA, lymphocyte count, hematocrit, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, pre-albumin, retinol binding protein, creatine kinase isoenzyme MB, Nterminal brain natriuretic peptide precursor, creatinine, indirect bilirubin, fibrinogen, hypersensitive C-reactive protein, CO, and mild contamination. The nomogram showed a broad prediction spectrum; the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.895 (0.858-0.931) for the training set and 0.849 (0.783-0.916) for the validation set.
conclusionThe model exhibits good predictive performance and will confer clinical benefit in NPSLE risk calculation. Key Points • Clinical, laboratory, and meteorological data were incorporated into a predictive model for neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus (NPSLE) in SLE patients. • Anti-dsDNA, anti-SSA, LYM, HCT, ESR, hsCRP, IBIL, PA, RBP, CO, Fib, NT-proBNP, Crea, CO, and mild contamination are predictors of the development of NPSLE and may have potential for research. • The nomogram has good predictive performance and clinical value and can be used to guide clinical diagnosis and treatment.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.