Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38664380›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Travel surveillance uncovers dengue virus dynamics and introductions in the Caribbean.

Emma Taylor-Salmon, Verity Hill, Lauren M Paul, Robert T Koch, Mallery I Breban, Chrispin Chaguza, Afeez Sodeinde, Joshua L Warren, Sylvia Bunch, Natalia Cano and 34 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
23.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Epidemiological and genomic features of chikungunya virus disease in travellers returning from Cuba, September 2025 to January 2026: a GeoSentinel analysis.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. No time to wait: A regional model for inter-epidemic vector-borne disease preparedness in the Caribbean.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Global Genomic Surveillance: On-The-Ground Responses.Current topics in microbiology and immunology · 2026
    Review
  17. Article
  18. New distribution records ofbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

44 authors at 9 institutions in 5 countries.

Emma Taylor-Salmon *Department of Pediatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA. emma.taylor-salmon@yale.edu.
Verity Hill *Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Lauren M Paul *Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5503-7570
Robert T Koch *Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Mallery I BrebanDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Chrispin ChaguzaDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Afeez SodeindeDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Joshua L WarrenDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Sylvia BunchBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Natalia CanoBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Marshall ConeBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Sarah EysoldtBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Alezaundra GarciaBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Nicadia GillesBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Andrew HagyBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Lea HeberleinBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Rayah JaberBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Elizabeth KassensBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA.
Pamela ColarussoBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, FL, USA.
Amanda DavisBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, FL, USA.
Samantha BaudinFlorida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, FL, USA.
Edhelene RicoFlorida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, FL, USA.
Álvaro Mejía-EcheverriFlorida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, FL, USA.
Blake ScottBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA.
Danielle StanekBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA.
Rebecca ZimlerBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-4991-4016
Jorge L Muñoz-JordánDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico.
Gilberto A SantiagoDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico.
Laura E AdamsDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico.
Gabriela Paz-BaileyDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico.
Melanie SpillaneOffice of Data, Analytics, and Technology, Division of Global Migration Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Volha KatebiOffice of Data, Analytics, and Technology, Division of Global Migration Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Robert Paulino-RamírezInstituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.
Sayira MuesesInstituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.
Armando PegueroInstituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.
Nelissa SánchezInstituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.
Francesca F NormanNational Referral Unit for Tropical Diseases, Infectious Diseases Department, CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas, IRYCIS, Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Universidad de Alcalá, Madrid, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0336-7767
Juan-Carlos GalánMicrobiology Department, Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria (IRYCIS), CIBER de Epidemiologia y Salud Publica (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8447-0960
Ralph HuitsDepartment of Infectious Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8803-9468
Davidson H HamerDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Center for Emerging Infectious Disease Policy and Research, Boston University, and National Emerging Infectious Disease Laboratory, Boston, MA, USA.
Chantal B F VogelsDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0027-6480
Andrea MorrisonBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA. andrea.Morrison@flhealth.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-8686-2841
Scott F MichaelDepartment of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, USA. smichael@fgcu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3236-2017
Nathan D GrubaughDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA. nathan.grubaugh@yale.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2031-1933
Florida Department of Health · USYale University · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USUniversidad Iberoamericana · DOFlorida Gulf Coast University · USBoston University · USInstituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria · ESOspedale Sacro Cuore Don Calabria · ITUniversidad de Alcalá · ES

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Predoctoral Training Program in VirologyT32AI055403 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KUMAR, PRITI, MOTHES, WALTHER H · 2003 to 2024
$3.6M
Enhancing dengue virus genomic surveillance to uncover circulating genetic diversityDP2AI176740 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GRUBAUGH, NATHAN DALE · 2022 to 2025
$2.5M
High Performance Computing Instrumentation for the Yale Center for Genome AnalysisS10OD030363 · OD · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI MANE, SHRIKANT M · 2022 to 2022
$1.2M
Novel organic-ion-based technology for long-term virus preservation at ambient temperatureR21GM142011 · NIGMS · FLORIDA GULF COAST UNIVERSITY · PI MICHAEL, SCOTT F, MIRJAFARI, ARSALAN · 2022 to 2023
$341k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCEZID CDC HHS U01 CK000632NCEZID CDC HHS U50 CK000189NIAID NIH HHS DP2 AI176740NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI055403NIGMS NIH HHS R21 GM142011NIH HHS S10 OD030363
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dengue is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral disease in humans, and cases are continuing to rise globally. In particular, islands in the Caribbean have experienced more frequent outbreaks, and all four dengue virus (DENV) serotypes have been reported in the region, leading to hyperendemicity and increased rates of severe disease. However, there is significant variability regarding virus surveillance and reporting between islands, making it difficult to obtain an accurate understanding of the epidemiological patterns in the Caribbean. To investigate this, we used travel surveillance and genomic epidemiology to reconstruct outbreak dynamics, DENV serotype turnover, and patterns of spread within the region from 2009-2022. We uncovered two recent DENV-3 introductions from Asia, one of which resulted in a large outbreak in Cuba, which was previously under-reported. We also show that while outbreaks can be synchronized between islands, they are often caused by different serotypes. Our study highlights the importance of surveillance of infected travelers to provide a snapshot of local introductions and transmission in areas with limited local surveillance and suggests that the recent DENV-3 introductions may pose a major public health threat in the region.

Indexed as

DengueDengue VirusDisease OutbreaksSerogroupTravelCaribbean RegionEpidemiological MonitoringHumansPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID38664380
PMCPMC11045810
OpenAlexW4395467561

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.