Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38657840›Full record

Trial reportOphthalmology2024

An Updated Simplified Severity Scale for Age-Related Macular Degeneration Incorporating Reticular Pseudodrusen: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report Number 42.

Elvira Agrón, Amitha Domalpally, Qingyu Chen, Zhiyong Lu, Emily Y Chew, Tiarnan D L Keenan, AREDS and AREDS2 Research Groups

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Ophthalmology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
12.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Bidirectional Retro mode differential imaging improves drusen boundary depiction in early and intermediate AMD: a pilot study.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
    Article
  3. Non neovascular Age - related macular degeneration - Review on clinical and imaging advances.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Clinically Explainable Disease Diagnosis Based on Biomarker Activation Map.IEEE transactions on bio-medical engineering · 2026
    Article
  7. Observational
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  17. High risk does not guarantee high accuracy-Evaluating the prognostic accuracy of OCT biomarkers for predicting late AMD.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Elvira AgrónDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, National Eye Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.
Amitha DomalpallyDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin.
Qingyu ChenNational Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland; Biomedical Informatics and Data Science, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Zhiyong LuNational Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.
Emily Y ChewDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, National Eye Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.
Tiarnan D L KeenanDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, National Eye Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland. Electronic address: tiarnan.keenan@nih.gov.
AREDS and AREDS2 Research Groups
National Institutes of Health · USUniversity of Wisconsin–Madison · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Mechanisms, modeling and therapies of retinal and macular neurodegenerationZIAEY000546 · NEI · NATIONAL EYE INSTITUTE · PI SWAROOP, ANAND · 2015 to 2025
$36.3M
Machine learning for medical imaging: automated disease diagnosis and prognosisZIALM010021 · NLM · NATIONAL LIBRARY OF MEDICINE · PI LU, ZHIYONG · 2022 to 2025
$4.1M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 EY999999Intramural NIH HHS ZIA EY000546NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo update the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) simplified severity scale for risk of late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), including incorporation of reticular pseudodrusen (RPD), and to perform external validation on the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2).

designPost hoc analysis of 2 clinical trial cohorts: AREDS and AREDS2.

participantsParticipants with no late AMD in either eye at baseline in AREDS (n = 2719) and AREDS2 (n = 1472).

methodsFive-year rates of progression to late AMD were calculated according to levels 0 to 4 on the simplified severity scale after 2 updates: (1) noncentral geographic atrophy (GA) considered part of the outcome, rather than a risk feature, and (2) scale separation according to RPD status (determined by validated deep learning grading of color fundus photographs).

main outcome measuresFive-year rate of progression to late AMD (defined as neovascular AMD or any GA).

resultsIn the AREDS, after the first scale update, the 5-year rates of progression to late AMD for levels 0 to 4 were 0.3%, 4.5%, 12.9%, 32.2%, and 55.6%, respectively. As the final simplified severity scale, the 5-year progression rates for levels 0 to 4 were 0.3%, 4.3%, 11.6%, 26.7%, and 50.0%, respectively, for participants without RPD at baseline and 2.8%, 8.0%, 29.0%, 58.7%, and 72.2%, respectively, for participants with RPD at baseline. In external validation on the AREDS2, for levels 2 to 4, the progression rates were similar: 15.0%, 27.7%, and 45.7% (RPD absent) and 26.2%, 46.0%, and 73.0% (RPD present), respectively.

conclusionsThe AREDS AMD simplified severity scale has been modernized with 2 important updates. The new scale for individuals without RPD has 5-year progression rates of approximately 0.5%, 4%, 12%, 25%, and 50%, such that the rates on the original scale remain accurate. The new scale for individuals with RPD has 5-year progression rates of approximately 3%, 8%, 30%, 60%, and 70%, that is, approximately double for most levels. This scale fits updated definitions of late AMD, has increased prognostic accuracy, seems generalizable to similar populations, but remains simple for broad risk categorization. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionGeographic AtrophyRetinal DrusenSeverity of Illness IndexAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMacular DegenerationMaleMiddle AgedVisual AcuityWet Macular DegenerationAge-Related Eye Disease StudyAge-related macular degenerationGeographic atrophyReticular pseudodrusenSeverity scale

Identifiers

PMID38657840
PMCPMC11416341
OpenAlexW4395051952

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.