ArticleNature communications2024
Estimating the effects of temperature on transmission of the human malaria parasite, Plasmodium falciparum.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate change impact on disease emergence and antimicrobial resistance: A perspective on transmission and detection.iScience · 2026Review
- The Al-Bahah Paradox: Divergent Patterns of Increased and Decreased Infectious Disease Incidence Relative to National Saudi Rates Over 12 Years of Surveillance.Saudi medical journal · 2026Article
- Geospatial mapping of malaria risk in flood-prone zones of Sub-Saharan Africa.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Article
- Comparing three approaches to modelling the effects of temperature and rainfall on malaria incidence in different climatic regions.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Stage-dependent trade-offs in thermal performance: fluctuating temperatures reverse larval and adult fitness in Anopheles gambiae and An. coluzzii.Journal of medical entomology · 2026Article
- Lagged effect of temperature and rainfall on malaria incidence in Colombia (2013-2023): An approach with Bayesian spatiotemporal adjustment.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Integrating causal inference and machine learning to quantify climate-malaria relationships: Evidence of temperature and rainfall thresholds from Colombian municipalities.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Malaria outbreak prediction at the sub-district level in Zambia using remote sensing satellite data.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Influence of biophysical and biochemical cues on Plasmodium sporozoite dynamics in skin tissue.Parasites & vectors · 2025Review
- Climate Change Favors African Malaria Vector Mosquitoes.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Climate Change Is Expected to Expand Malaria Transmission Range and Population at Risk in Papua New Guinea.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Effects of temperature and nutrition stress on Anopheles stephensi, an Indian urban malaria vector.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Modelling the effects of adult emergence on the surveillance and age distribution of medically important mosquitoes.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Assessing the influencing factors of dengue fever in Chinese mainland based on causal analysis.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Modelling the effects of diurnal temperature variation on malaria infection dynamics in mosquitoes.Communications biology · 2025Article
- Review of selected mosquito-borne diseases: arboviruses (dengue, chikungunya, Zika, West Nile, Japanese encephalitis, yellow fever) and parasitic diseases (malaria, lymphatic Filariasis).Frontiers in public health · 2025Review
- Chemoprevention of malaria with long-acting oral and injectable drugs: an updated target product profile.Malaria journal · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Despite concern that climate change could increase the human risk to malaria in certain areas, the temperature dependency of malaria transmission is poorly characterized. Here, we use a mechanistic model fitted to experimental data to describe how Plasmodium falciparum infection of the African malaria vector, Anopheles gambiae, is modulated by temperature, including its influences on parasite establishment, conversion efficiency through parasite developmental stages, parasite development rate, and overall vector competence. We use these data, together with estimates of the survival of infected blood-fed mosquitoes, to explore the theoretical influence of temperature on transmission in four locations in Kenya, considering recent conditions and future climate change. Results provide insights into factors limiting transmission in cooler environments and indicate that increases in malaria transmission due to climate warming in areas like the Kenyan Highlands, might be less than previously predicted.
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