Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38640195›Full record

ArticleBlood advances2024

Amphiregulin, ST2, and REG3α biomarker risk algorithms as predictors of nonrelapse mortality in patients with acute GVHD.

Aaron Etra, Najla El Jurdi, Nikolaos Katsivelos, Deukwoo Kwon, Stephanie Gergoudis, George Morales, Nikolaos Spyrou, Steven Kowalyk, Paibel Aguayo-Hiraldo, Yu Akahoshi and 28 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Blood advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

38 authors at 20 institutions in 5 countries.

Aaron EtraThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.ORCID 0009-0000-7360-3986
Najla El JurdiHematology, Oncology and Transplant, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.ORCID 0000-0002-9268-9655
Nikolaos KatsivelosThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.ORCID 0009-0004-7955-1119
Deukwoo KwonDepartment of Population Health Science and Policy, Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Stephanie GergoudisThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
George MoralesThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Nikolaos SpyrouThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.ORCID 0000-0001-5274-1749
Steven KowalykThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Paibel Aguayo-HiraldoDivision of Hematology, Oncology, and Blood and Marrow Transplantation, Children's Hospital Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-0196-806X
Yu AkahoshiThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Francis AyukDepartment of Stem Cell Transplantation, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Janna BaezThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Brian C BettsHematology, Oncology and Transplant, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
Chantiya ChanswangphuwanaBlood and Marrow Transplantation Program, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Yi-Bin ChenHematopoietic Cell Transplant and Cellular Therapy Program, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-9554-1058
Hannah ChoeDivision of Hematology, James Cancer Center, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH.
Zachariah DeFilippHematopoietic Cell Transplant and Cellular Therapy Program, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-7994-8974
Sigrun GleichDepartment of Hematology and Oncology, Internal Medicine III, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany.
Elizabeth HexnerBlood and Marrow Transplantation Program, Abramson Cancer Center, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-1125-4060
William J HoganDivision of Hematology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.ORCID 0000-0002-5841-4105
Ernst HollerDepartment of Hematology and Oncology, Internal Medicine III, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany.
Carrie L KitkoPediatric Stem Cell Transplant Program, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Sabrina KrausDepartment of Internal Medicine II, University Hospital of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.
Monzr Al MalkiHematology/Hematopoietic Cell Transplant, City of Hope National Medical Center, Duarte, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-8226-471X
Margaret MacMillanHematology, Oncology and Transplant, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
Attaphol PawarodeBlood and Marrow Transplantation Program, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Francesco QuagliarellaOspedale Bambino Gesu', Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-7346-2738
Muna QayedAflac Cancer and Blood Disorders Center, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.ORCID 0000-0001-7689-343X
Ran ReshefBlood and Marrow Transplantation Program, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY.
Tal SchechterDivision of Hematology/Oncology/BMT, The Hospital for Sick Children, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Ingrid VasovaMed. Klinik III/Poliklinik, Universitatsklinik Erlangen, Erlangen, Germany.
Daniel WeisdorfHematology, Oncology and Transplant, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.ORCID 0000-0001-8078-8579
Matthias WölflPediatric Blood and Marrow Transplantation Program, Children's Hospital, University of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9608-3482
Rachel YoungThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Ryotaro NakamuraHematology/Hematopoietic Cell Transplant, City of Hope National Medical Center, Duarte, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-9082-0680
James L M FerraraThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
John E LevineThe Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.ORCID 0000-0002-5611-7828
Shernan HoltanHematology, Oncology and Transplant, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.ORCID 0000-0002-5054-9419
Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USUniversity of Minnesota · USCity Of Hope National Medical Center · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USUniversity of Regensburg · DEBambino Gesù Children's Hospital · ITChildren's Hospital of Los Angeles · USChulalongkorn University · THColumbia University Irving Medical Center · USEmory University · USMayo Clinic · USThe Ohio State University Comprehensive Cancer Center – Arthur G. James Cancer Hospital and Richard J. Solove Research Institute · USUniversität Hamburg · DEUniversitätsklinikum Erlangen · DEUniversitätsklinikum Würzburg · DEUniversity of Michigan · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USUniversity of Toronto · CAUniversity of Würzburg · DEVanderbilt University Medical Center · US

Funding

TUMOR VACCINES AND BONE MARROW TRANSPLANTATIONP01CA039542 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI JOHN LEVINE · 1985 to 2026
$47.9M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA039542
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

abstractGraft-versus-host disease (GVHD) is a major cause of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation. Algorithms containing either the gastrointestinal (GI) GVHD biomarker amphiregulin (AREG) or a combination of 2 GI GVHD biomarkers (suppressor of tumorigenicity-2 [ST2] + regenerating family member 3 alpha [REG3α]) when measured at GVHD diagnosis are validated predictors of NRM risk but have never been assessed in the same patients using identical statistical methods. We measured the serum concentrations of ST2, REG3α, and AREG by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay at the time of GVHD diagnosis in 715 patients divided by the date of transplantation into training (2004-2015) and validation (2015-2017) cohorts. The training cohort (n = 341) was used to develop algorithms for predicting the probability of 12-month NRM that contained all possible combinations of 1 to 3 biomarkers and a threshold corresponding to the concordance probability was used to stratify patients for the risk of NRM. Algorithms were compared with each other based on several metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, proportion of patients correctly classified, sensitivity, and specificity using only the validation cohort (n = 374). All algorithms were strong discriminators of 12-month NRM, whether or not patients were systemically treated (n = 321). An algorithm containing only ST2 + REG3α had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (0.757), correctly classified the most patients (75%), and more accurately risk-stratified those who developed Minnesota standard-risk GVHD and for patients who received posttransplant cyclophosphamide-based prophylaxis. An algorithm containing only AREG more accurately risk-stratified patients with Minnesota high-risk GVHD. Combining ST2, REG3α, and AREG into a single algorithm did not improve performance.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAmphiregulinBiomarkersGraft vs Host DiseaseHematopoietic Stem Cell TransplantationInterleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 ProteinPancreatitis-Associated ProteinsAcute DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedAntigens, NeoplasmFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedAmphiregulinAntigens, NeoplasmAREG protein, humanBiomarkersIL1RL1 protein, humanInterleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 ProteinPancreatitis-Associated ProteinsREG3A protein, human

Identifiers

PMID38640195
PMCPMC11226972
OpenAlexW4394981536

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.