Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38631846›Full record

ArticleRMD open2024

Use of risk chart algorithms for the identification of psoriatic arthritis patients at high risk for cardiovascular disease: findings derived from the project CARMA cohort after a 7.5-year follow-up period.

Jessica Polo Y La Borda, Santos Castañeda, Elena Heras-Recuero, Fernando Sánchez-Alonso, Zulema Plaza, Carmen García Gómez, Ivan Ferraz-Amaro, Jesús Tomás Sanchez-Costa, Olga Carmen Sánchez-González, Ana Isabel Turrión-Nieves and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in RMD open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Jessica Polo Y La BordaRheumatology, Hospital Universitario Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid, Spain.
Santos CastañedaRheumatology Department, Hospital Universitario La Princesa, IIS-Princesa, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7748-853X
Elena Heras-RecueroRheumatology, ISS Fundacion Jimenez Diaz, Madrid, Spain.
Fernando Sánchez-AlonsoResearch Unit of Spanish Society of Rheumatology, Madrid, Spain.
Zulema PlazaResearch Unit, Spanish Society of Rheumatology, Madrid, Spain.
Carmen García GómezRheumatology, Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain.
Ivan Ferraz-AmaroRheumatology Unit, Hospital Universitario de Canarias, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-0197-5267
Jesús Tomás Sanchez-CostaRheumatology, Research Unit, Spanish Society of Rheumatology, Madrid, Spain.
Olga Carmen Sánchez-GonzálezRheumatology, Hospital Universitario del Sureste, Madrid, Spain.
Ana Isabel Turrión-NievesRheumatology Department, Hospital Complejo Asistencial Universitario de Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain.
Ana Perez-AlcaláRheumatology, Hospital Universitario Príncipe Asturias, Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, Spain.
Carolina Pérez-GarcíaRheumatology Department, Consorci Parc de Salut MAR de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Carlos González-JuanateyCardiology, Hospital Universitario Lucus Augusti, Lugo, Spain.
Javier LlorcaEpidemiology, CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP) and Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Cantabria, Santander, Spain.
Miguel Angel Gonzalez-GayRheumatology, ISS Fundacion Jimenez Diaz, Madrid, Spain miguelaggay@hotmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-7924-7406
CARMA Project Collaborative Group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the predictive value of four cardiovascular (CV) risk algorithms for identifying high-risk psoriatic arthritis (PsA) patients.

methodsEvaluation of patients with PsA enrolled in the Spanish prospective project CARdiovascular in RheuMAtology. Baseline data of 669 PsA patients with no history of CV events at the baseline visit, who were followed in rheumatology outpatient clinics at tertiary centres for 7.5 years, were retrospectively analysed to test the performance of the Systematic Coronary Risk Assessment (SCORE), the modified version (mSCORE) European Alliance of Rheumatology Associations (EULAR) 2015/2016, the SCORE2 algorithm (the updated and improved version of SCORE) and the QRESEARCH risk estimator version 3 (QRISK3).

resultsOver 4790 years of follow-up, there were 34 CV events, resulting in a linearised rate of 7.10 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 4.92 to 9.92). The four CV risk scales showed strong correlations and all showed significant associations with CV events (p<0.001). SCORE, mSCORE EULAR 2015/2016 and QRISK3 effectively differentiated between low and high CV risk patients, although the cumulative rate of CV events observed over 7.5 years was lower than expected based on the frequency predicted by these risk scales. Additionally, model improvement was observed when combining QRISK3 with any other scale, particularly the combination of QRISK3 and SCORE2, which yielded the lowest Akaike information criterion (411.15) and Bayesian information criterion (420.10), making it the best predictive model.

conclusionsRisk chart algorithms are very useful for discriminating PsA at low and high CV risk. An integrated model featuring QRISK3 and SCORE2 yielded the optimal synergy of QRISK3's discrimination ability and SCORE2's calibration accuracy.

Indexed as

Arthritis, PsoriaticCardiovascular DiseasesAlgorithmsBayes TheoremFollow-Up StudiesHumansProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesArthritis, PsoriaticAtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesMortality

Identifiers

PMID38631846
PMCPMC11029293

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.