Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38629150›Full record

ArticleNicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco2024

Changes in U.S. Adolescent Nicotine Vaping Prevalence From 2022 to 2023: The Role of Reduced Initiation Three Years Earlier During the Onset of the Pandemic.

Richard Miech

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Trends and Sociodemographic Differences in Tobacco/Nicotine Transitions Among U.S. Adolescents and Young Adults Using e-cigarettes, 2014-2023.The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Richard MiechInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2812-1109

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Richard A Miech · 1985 to 2026
$144.9M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411NIH HHS DA001411
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe prevalence of adolescent nicotine vaping declined substantially after the COVID-19 pandemic onset in the United States during the Spring of 2020. This study examines whether the decline continued from 2022 to 2023, and the extent to which any decline reflects the lasting influence of lowered levels of initiation 3 years earlier, at the onset of the pandemic. AIMS AND

methodsData for this study come from nationally representative, cross-sectional surveys of U.S. 12th-grade (n = 9854) and 10th-grade (n = 14 663) students administered in the Spring of 2022 and 2023. The main outcomes are past 12-month nicotine vaping and grade first ever vaped nicotine.

resultsFrom 2022 to 2023 prevalence of past 12-month nicotine vaping declined a relative 20% for 12th-grade students, from 24.3% to 19.1%, and for 10th-grade students by a relative 16%, from 17.8% to 15.1%. Among 12th-grade students who vaped nicotine in the past 12 months, a significant decline in prevalence took place only among those who first ever vaped nicotine in ninth grade, and not among those who first ever vaped nicotine in any other grade. Among 10th grade students who vaped nicotine in the past 12 months, a significant decline in prevalence took place only among those who first ever vaped nicotine in seventh grade, and not among those who first ever vaped nicotine in any other grade.

conclusionsThese results contribute national-level evidence that forestalled initiation of nicotine use for 1 year may have a lasting effect that continues to lower adolescents' levels of use many years afterward. IMPLICATIONS: These findings caution against looking to contemporaneous policy for explanations of the large, 1-year decline in nicotine vaping from 2022 to 2023. It can be tempting to interpret the decline as a victory for current efforts to restrict adolescent access to vaping products, or current education/media campaigns that warn adolescents of the dangers of vaping. The findings of this study suggest, instead, that the 1-year vaping declines primarily result from declines in initiation that were set into place 3 years ago during the pandemic onset, more so than the immediate result of contemporaneous policy.

Indexed as

COVID-19VapingAdolescentAdolescent BehaviorCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleNicotinePandemicsPrevalenceStudentsUnited StatesNicotine

Identifiers

PMID38629150
PMCPMC11417113

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.