Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38621809›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners2024

Trends in clinical workload in UK primary care 2005-2019: a retrospective cohort study.

Lyvia de Dumast, Patrick Moore, Kym Ie Snell, Tom Marshall

Abstract read
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Article in The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Observational
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  12. The 2.1% dilemma: reassessing video consultation in Simulated Consultation Assessment examinations.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2025
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  16. What is a full-time GP?The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lyvia de DumastInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham.ORCID 0009-0005-0625-6423
Patrick MoorePopulation Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol Medical School, Bristol.ORCID 0000-0002-5205-8832
Kym Ie SnellInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham; National Institute for Health and Care Research, Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, Birmingham.ORCID 0000-0001-9373-6591
Tom MarshallInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham.ORCID 0000-0001-9277-5214

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSubstantial increases in UK consulting rates, mean consultation duration, and clinical workload were observed between 2007 and 2014. To the authors' knowledge, no analysis of more recent trends in clinical workload has been published to date. This study updates and builds on previous research, identifying underlying changes in population morbidity levels affecting demand for primary health care.

aimTo describe the changes in clinical workload in UK primary care since 2005. DESIGN AND

settingRetrospective cohort study using GP primary care electronic health records data from 824 UK general practices.

methodOver 500 million anonymised electronic health records were obtained from IQVIA Medical Research Data to examine consulting rates with GPs and practice nurses together with the duration of these consultations to determine total patient-level workload per person-year.

resultsAge-standardised mean GP direct (face-to-face and telephone) consulting rates fell steadily by 2.0% a year from 2014 to 2019. Between 2005 and 2019 mean GP direct consulting rates fell by 5.8% overall whereas mean workload per person-year increased by 25.8%, owing in part to a 36.9% increase in mean consultation duration. Indirect GP workload almost tripled over the 15 years, contributing to a 48.3% increase in overall clinical workload per person-year. The proportion of the study population with ≥3 serious chronic conditions increased from 9.7% to 16.1%, accounting for over a third of total clinical workload in 2019.

conclusionFindings show sustained increases in consulting rates, consultation duration, and clinical workload until 2014. From 2015, however, rising demand for health care and a larger administrative workload have led to capacity constraints as the system nears saturation.

Indexed as

Electronic Health RecordsPrimary Health CareWorkloadAdultAgedFemaleGeneral PracticeHumansMaleMiddle AgedReferral and ConsultationRetrospective StudiesUnited Kingdomconsultationelectronic health recordsmorbidityprimary careretrospective studystaff workload

Identifiers

PMID38621809
PMCPMC11388090

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.