ArticleJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society)2024
Incorporating testing volume into estimation of effective reproduction number dynamics.
Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- A generalized multi-population model for Ebola virus transmission incorporating environmental reservoir dynamics.Infectious medicine · 2026Article
- Unjustified Poisson assumptions lead to overconfident estimates of the effective reproductive number.Epidemiology and infection · 2026Article
- Fostering public health and academic partnerships during and beyond a public health emergency: lessons learned from COVID-19.American journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
- rtestim: Time-varying reproduction number estimation with trend filtering.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Effect of testing criteria for infectious disease surveillance: The case of COVID-19 in Norway.PloS one · 2024Article
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3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Branching process inspired models are widely used to estimate the effective reproduction number-a useful summary statistic describing an infectious disease outbreak-using counts of new cases. Case data is a real-time indicator of changes in the reproduction number, but is challenging to work with because cases fluctuate due to factors unrelated to the number of new infections. We develop a new model that incorporates the number of diagnostic tests as a surveillance model covariate. Using simulated data and data from the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in California, we demonstrate that incorporating tests leads to improved performance over the state of the art.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.