Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38615002›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2024

Spatial-temporal drivers and incidence heterogeneity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome transmission in Shandong Province, China, 2016-2022.

Qing Duan, Yao Wang, Xiaolin Jiang, Shujun Ding, Yuwei Zhang, Mingxiao Yao, Bo Pang, Xueying Tian, Wei Ma, Zengqiang Kou and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Generation and Characterization of the Human Anti-HTNV Antibody KJJ4.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Qing Duan *Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China.
Yao Wang *Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China.
Xiaolin JiangMinistry of Research and Education, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China.
Shujun DingInfectious Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China.
Yuwei ZhangInfectious Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China.
Mingxiao YaoInfectious Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China.
Bo PangInfectious Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China.
Xueying TianInfectious Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China.
Wei MaDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China.
Zengqiang KouInfectious Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, 250014, China. jack-cou@163.com.
Hongling WenDepartment of Microbiological Laboratory Technology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China. wenhongling@sdu.edu.cn.

Funding

Shandong medical and health science and technology development plan NO. 202112050731Shandong Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Program Q-2023008Youth Innovation Fund Program of Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention QC-202302
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) signals a recurring risk in Eurasia in recent years owing to its continued rise in case notifications and the extension of geographical distribution. This study was undertaken to investigate the spatiotemporal drivers and incidence heterogeneity of HFRS transmission in Shandong Province.

methodsThe epidemiological data for HFRS, meteorological data and socioeconomic data were obtained from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, China Meteorological Data Sharing Service System, and Shandong Statistical Yearbook, respectively. The spatial-temporal multicomponent model was employed to analyze the values of spatial-temporal components and the heterogeneity of HFRS transmission across distinct regions.

resultsThe total effect values of the autoregressive, epidemic, and endemic components were 0.451, 0.187, and 0.033, respectively, exhibiting significant heterogeneity across various cities. This suggested a pivotal role of the autoregressive component in propelling HFRS transmission in Shandong Province. The epidemic component of Qingdao, Weifang, Yantai, Weihai, and Jining declined sharply at the onset of 2020. The random effect identified distinct incidence levels associated with Qingdao and Weifang, signifying regional variations in HFRS occurrence.

conclusionsThe autoregressive component emerged as a significant driver in the transmission of HFRS in Shandong Province. Targeted preventive measures should be strategically implemented across various regions, taking into account the predominant component influencing the epidemic.

Indexed as

EpidemicsHemorrhagic Fever with Renal SyndromeChinaCitiesHumansIncidenceHemorrhagic fever with renal syndromeInfluencing factorSpatial-temporal multicomponent modelTransmission driver

Identifiers

PMID38615002
PMCPMC11015691

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.