Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38613747›Full record

SynthesisAmbio2024

Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social-ecological systems.

Emilie Cremin, Cai J T Ladd, Thorsten Balke, Sumana Banerjee, Ly H Bui, Tuhin Ghosh, Andy Large, Hue Thi Van Le, Kien V Nguyen, Lan X Nguyen and 8 more

Abstract readSystematic Review
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Ambio, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Emilie CreminSchool of Social and Environmental Studies, The University of Glasgow, Dumfries Campus, Rutherford/McCowan Building, Crichton University Campus, Dumfries, DG1 4ZL, Scotland, UK. emilie.cremin@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4732-2376
Cai J T LaddSchool of Geography and Earth Science, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5437-6474
Thorsten BalkeSchool of Geography and Earth Science, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7733-5069
Sumana BanerjeeSchool of Oceanographic Studies, Jadavpur University, Kolkata, India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1009-8123
Ly H BuiVNU-Central Institute for Natural Resources and Environmental Studies (VNU-CRES), Vietnam National University (VNU), Hanoi, Vietnam.
Tuhin GhoshSchool of Oceanographic Studies, Jadavpur University, Kolkata, India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3466-867X
Andy LargeSchool of Geography, Politics and Sociology, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3835-351X
Hue Thi Van LeVNU-Central Institute for Natural Resources and Environmental Studies (VNU-CRES), Vietnam National University (VNU), Hanoi, Vietnam.
Kien V NguyenAustralian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Lan X NguyenResearch Center for Rural Development, An Giang University, An Giang, Vietnam.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5691-7251
Tanh T N NguyenResearch Center for Rural Development, An Giang University, An Giang, Vietnam.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0847-4185
Vinh NguyenVNU-Central Institute for Natural Resources and Environmental Studies (VNU-CRES), Vietnam National University (VNU), Hanoi, Vietnam.
Indrajit PalDisaster Preparedness, Mitigation and Management, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathum Thani, Thailand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8743-8122
Sylvia SzaboBangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Ha TranCan Tho University, Can Tho, Vietnam.
Zita SebesvariUnited Nations University, Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7686-1227
Shah Alam KhanBangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Fabrice G RenaudSchool of Social and Environmental Studies, The University of Glasgow, Dumfries Campus, Rutherford/McCowan Building, Crichton University Campus, Dumfries, DG1 4ZL, Scotland, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0830-1196

Funding

Global Challenges Research Fund NE/S008926/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The sustainability of social-ecological systems within river deltas globally is in question as rapid development and environmental change trigger "negative" or "positive" tipping points depending on actors' perspectives, e.g. regime shift from abundant sediment deposition to sediment shortage, agricultural sustainability to agricultural collapse or shift from rural to urban land use. Using a systematic review of the literature, we show how cascading effects across anthropogenic, ecological, and geophysical processes have triggered numerous tipping points in the governance, hydrological, and land-use management of the world's river deltas. Crossing tipping points had both positive and negative effects that generally enhanced economic development to the detriment of the environment. Assessment of deltas that featured prominently in the review revealed how outcomes of tipping points can inform the long-term trajectory of deltas towards sustainability or collapse. Management of key drivers at the delta scale can trigger positive tipping points to place social-ecological systems on a pathway towards sustainable development.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesRiversAgricultureEcosystemSustainable DevelopmentCascading effectsRiver deltasSocial–ecological systemsSustainable developmentSystematic literature reviewTipping points

Identifiers

PMID38613747
PMCPMC11101396

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.