ArticleBMC plant biology2024
The influence of climate change on the future distribution of two Thymus species in Iran: MaxEnt model-based prediction.
Article in BMC plant biology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.
- Predicting global distribution of Caryopteris under climate change using an optimized MaxEnt model: insights into ecological adaptation and conservation.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
- Predicting the impact of climate change on the suitable habitat of Populus qiongdaoensis in Hainan Island using MaxEnt modeling.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Climate Change Drives Divergent Potential Habitat Dynamics of Invasive and Native Noxious Asteraceae Weeds in Yunnan Grasslands.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Distribution response of the diploid hybrid species Hippophae goniocarpa to climate change based on a three-dimensional geographic gradient.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
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- Predicting the impact of climate change on the habitat suitability and phytochemical quality of Salvia multicaulis Vahl.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- MaxEnt Prediction ofEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Forecasting climate change effects on the potential distribution of Zhumeria Majdae as an endangered monotypic endemic species: a maxent modeling approach.BMC ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Predicting the potential habitats of two Lycium species and the quality suitability of Lycium chinense Mill. Cortex under climate change.BMC ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Predictive Framework Based on GBIF and WorldClim Data for Identifying Drought- and Cold-TolerantPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Distribution Dynamics ofEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- The sensitivity and response of the threatened endemic shrub Arbutus pavarii to current and future climate change.BMC ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Eco-Spatial Modeling of Two Giant Flying Squirrels (Sciuridae:Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Prediction of global potential distribution and assessment of habitat suitability forFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
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- Evaluation of the impact of ecological factors on the habitat suitability and bioactive components accumulation of the medicinal holoparasitic plantFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- From current to future projections: modeling habitat suitability changes forFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Within a few decades, the species habitat was reshaped at an alarming rate followed by climate change, leading to mass extinction, especially for sensitive species. Species distribution models (SDMs), which estimate both present and future species distribution, have been extensively developed to investigate the impacts of climate change on species distribution and assess habitat suitability. In the West Asia essential oils of T. daenensis and T. kotschyanus include high amounts of thymol and carvacrol and are commonly used as herbal tea, spice, flavoring agents and medicinal plants. Therefore, this study aimed to model these Thymus species in Iran using the MaxEnt model under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) for the years 2050 and 2070. The findings revealed that the mean temperature of the warmest quarter (bio10) was the most significant variable affecting the distribution of T. daenensis. In the case of T. kotschyanus, slope percentage was the primary influencing factor. The MaxEnt modeling also demonstrated excellent performance, as indicated by all the Area Under the Curve (AUC) values exceeding 0.9. Moreover, based on the projections, the two mentioned species are expected to undergo negative area changes in the coming years. These results can serve as a valuable achievement for developing adaptive management strategies aimed at enhancing protection and sustainable utilization in the context of global climate change.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.