Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38605032›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Integrating social vulnerability into high-resolution global flood risk mapping.

Sean Fox, Felix Agyemang, Laurence Hawker, Jeffrey Neal

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sean FoxSchool of Geographical Sciences & Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. sean.fox@bristol.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4965-6823
Felix AgyemangDepartment of Planning, Property & Environmental Management, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6000-8790
Laurence HawkerSchool of Geographical Sciences & Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8317-7084
Jeffrey NealSchool of Geographical Sciences & Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5793-9594

Funding

RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/S003061/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

High-resolution global flood risk maps are increasingly used to inform disaster risk planning and response, particularly in lower income countries with limited data or capacity. However, current approaches do not adequately account for spatial variation in social vulnerability, which is a key determinant of variation in outcomes for exposed populations. Here we integrate annual average exceedance probability estimates from a high-resolution fluvial flood model with gridded population and poverty data to create a global vulnerability-adjusted risk index for flooding (VARI Flood) at 90-meter resolution. The index provides estimates of relative risk within or between countries and changes how we understand the geography of risk by identifying 'hotspots' characterised by high population density and high levels of social vulnerability. This approach, which emphasises risks to human well-being, could be used as a complement to traditional population or asset-centred approaches.

Identifiers

PMID38605032
PMCPMC11009285

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.