Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38604458›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of preventive medicine2024

Relationships of State Alcohol Policy Environments With Homicides and Suicides.

James P Murphy, Rosanna Smart, Terry L Schell, Nancy Nicosia, Timothy S Naimi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of preventive medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

James P MurphyRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California. Electronic address: jpmurphy@rand.org.
Rosanna SmartRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California.
Terry L SchellRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California.
Nancy NicosiaRAND Corporation, Boston, Massachusetts.
Timothy S NaimiCanadian Institute for Substance Use Research, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

Funding

Scientific and Technical CoreP2CHD041022 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI Martha Jane Bailey · 2016 to 2026
$6.9M
Estimating the Effect of 24/7 Sobriety on Morbidity and Mortality in North DakotaR01AA026457 · NIAAA · RAND CORPORATION · PI NICOSIA, NANCY · 2019 to 2021
$1.1M
Alcohol restrictions and firearm prohibitions based on mental illness: Effects on fatal and nonfatal firearm injuriesR61AA029064 · NIAAA · RAND CORPORATION · PI NICOSIA, NANCY · 2020 to 2020
$790k
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA026457NIAAA NIH HHS R61 AA029064NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041022
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAlcohol use is involved in a large proportion of homicides and suicides each year in the U.S., but there is limited evidence on how policies targeting alcohol influence violence in the U.S. CONTEXT: Extant studies generally focus on individual policies in isolation of each other. This study examines the impacts of changes in states' alcohol policy restrictions on overall homicide and suicide rates and firearm-related homicide and suicide rates using a holistic measure of states' alcohol policy environments.

methodsUsing a composite measure of state-level alcohol policies (Alcohol Policy Scale) and data from the National Vital Statistics System from 2002 to 2018, this study applied a Bayesian time series model to estimate the impacts of alcohol policy changes on overall and firearm-involved homicide and suicide rates. The analysis was performed in 2023 and 2024.

resultsA 1 SD change in the Alcohol Policy Scale was associated with a 6% decline in homicide rates both overall (incident rate ratio=0.94; 95% credible interval = 0.89, 1.00) and for firearm homicides specifically (incident rate ratio=0.94, 95% CI=0.88, 1.01). There was no clear association of alcohol policy with suicides. The model predicts that a nationwide increase in alcohol restrictions equivalent to a shift from the 25

conclusionsIncreases in the restrictiveness of state-level alcohol policies are associated with reductions in homicides. More restrictive alcohol policy environments may offer an opportunity to reduce homicides.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingBayes TheoremHomicideSuicideFirearmsHumansState GovernmentUnited States

Identifiers

PMID38604458
PMCPMC12333600

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.