Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38600468›Full record

ArticleBMC nephrology2024

Navigating the future of diabetes: innovative nomogram models for predicting all-cause mortality risk in diabetic nephropathy.

Sensen Wu, Hui Wang, Dikang Pan, Julong Guo, Fan Zhang, Yachan Ning, Yongquan Gu, Lianrui Guo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC nephrology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Sensen WuDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, 45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, China.
Hui WangDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, 45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, China.
Dikang PanDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, 45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, China.
Julong GuoDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, 45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, China.
Fan ZhangDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, 45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, China.
Yachan NingDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yongquan GuDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, 45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, China. Gu15901598209@aliyun.com.
Lianrui GuoDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, 45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, China. lianruiguo@sina.com.
Capital Medical University · CN

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China (2021YFC2500500)National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFC3602400, 2022YFC3602404)
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aims to establish and validate a nomogram model for the all-cause mortality rate in patients with diabetic nephropathy (DN).

methodsWe analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning from 2007 to 2016. A random split of 7:3 was performed between the training and validation sets. Utilizing follow-up data until December 31, 2019, we examined the all-cause mortality rate. Cox regression models and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression models were employed in the training cohort to develop a nomogram for predicting all-cause mortality in the studied population. Finally, various validation methods were employed to assess the predictive performance of the nomogram, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was conducted to evaluate the clinical utility of the nomogram.

resultsAfter the results of LASSO regression models and Cox multivariate analyses, a total of 8 variables were selected, gender, age, poverty income ratio, heart failure, body mass index, albumin, blood urea nitrogen and serum uric acid. A nomogram model was built based on these predictors. The C-index values in training cohort of 3-year, 5-year, 10-year mortality rates were 0.820, 0.807, and 0.798. In the validation cohort, the C-index values of 3-year, 5-year, 10-year mortality rates were 0.773, 0.788, and 0.817, respectively. The calibration curve demonstrates satisfactory consistency between the two cohorts.

conclusionThe newly developed nomogram proves to be effective in predicting the all-cause mortality risk in patients with diabetic nephropathy, and it has undergone robust internal validation.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusDiabetic NephropathiesAlbuminsHumansNomogramsNutrition SurveysUric AcidAlbuminsUric AcidAll-cause mortalityDiabetesDiabetic nephropathyNomogram

Identifiers

PMID38600468
PMCPMC11008048
OpenAlexW4394687713

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.