Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38600186›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Response times are affected by mispredictions in a stochastic game.

Paulo Roberto Cabral-Passos, Antonio Galves, Jesus Enrique Garcia, Claudia D Vargas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Paulo Roberto Cabral-PassosDepartamento de Física da Faculdade de Filosofia, Ciências e Letras de Ribeirão Preto, Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, Brazil.
Antonio GalvesInstituto de Matemática e Estatística, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Jesus Enrique GarciaInstituto de Matemática, Estatística e Computação Científica, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Claudia D VargasInstituto de Biofísica Carlos Chagas Filho, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. cdvargas@biof.ufrj.br.

Funding

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico,Brazil 310397/2021-9Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico,Brazil 314836/2021-7Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico,Brazil 407092/2023Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior 88882.33210 8/2019-01Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos 18.569-8Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo 2013/ 07699-0
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Acting as a goalkeeper in a video-game, a participant is asked to predict the successive choices of the penalty taker. The sequence of choices of the penalty taker is generated by a stochastic chain with memory of variable length. It has been conjectured that the probability distribution of the response times is a function of the specific sequence of past choices governing the algorithm used by the penalty taker to make his choice at each step. We found empirical evidence that besides this dependence, the distribution of the response times depends also on the success or failure of the previous prediction made by the participant. Moreover, we found statistical evidence that this dependence propagates up to two steps forward after the prediction failure.

Identifiers

PMID38600186
PMCPMC11006944

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.