Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38598509›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Health and economic burden of insufficient physical activity in Saudi Arabia.

Saleh A Alqahtani, Reem AlAhmed, Mariam M Hamza, Saleh A Alessy, Ada Alqunaibet, Amal AlGhammas, David Watkins, William Msemburi, Fadiah Alkhattabi, Sarah Pickersgill and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Economic cost of movement behaviours: a systematic review.Journal of activity, sedentary and sleep behaviors · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Saleh A AlqahtaniOrgan Transplant Center of Excellence, King Faisal Specialist Hospital & Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.ORCID 0000-0003-2017-3526
Reem AlAhmedBiostatistics, Epidemiology and Scientific Computing Department, King Faisal Specialist Hospital & Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Mariam M HamzaThe World Bank Group, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Saleh A AlessyPublic Health Department, College of Health Sciences, Saudi Electronic University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Ada AlqunaibetPublic Health Authority, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Amal AlGhammasAcademic and Training Affairs Department, King Faisal Specialist Hospital & Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
David WatkinsIndependent Consultant, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
William MsemburiIndependent Consultant, Cape Town, South Africa.
Fadiah AlkhattabiDepartment of Pediatrics, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Sarah PickersgillIndependent Consultant, Oakland, CA, United States of America.
Severin RakicThe World Bank Group, Washington, DC, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5401-3614
Reem F AlsukaitDepartment of Community Health Sciences, College of Applied Medical Sciences, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Christopher H HerbstThe World Bank Group, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Hazzaa M Al-HazzaaLifestyle and Health Research Center, Health Science Research Center, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInsufficient physical activity (PA) was estimated to cause 4.8% of deaths and 2.6% of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to noncommunicable diseases in Saudi Arabia in 2019. While Saudi Arabia is already achieving great improvements, we predict the health and economic burden of insufficient PA up to 2040 to present a case for policy makers to invest more in the uptake of PA.

methodsUsing a population health model to estimate avoidable health loss, we identified four causes of health loss related to low PA (cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, breast cancer, and colorectal cancer) and estimated the deaths and DALYs from these causes. We projected the expected disease burden until 2040 under alternative assumptions about future PA levels and trends by using three health scenarios: baseline (no change in 2019 PA levels), intervention (81% of the population achieving sufficient PA levels), and ideal (65% of population: moderate PA, 30%: high PA, and 5%: inactive). We applied an "intrinsic value" approach to estimate the economic impact of each scenario.

resultsOverall, we estimate that between 2023 and 2040, about 80,000 to 110,000 deaths from all causes and 2.0 million to 2.9 million DALYs could be avoided by increasing PA levels in Saudi Arabia. The average annual economic loss from insufficient PA is valued at 0.49% to 0.68% of the current gross domestic product, with an average of US$5.4 billion to US$7.6 billion annually till 2040. The most avoidable disease burden and economic losses are expected among males and because of ischemic heart disease.

conclusionsThis study highlights that low PA levels will have considerable health and economic impacts in Saudi Arabia if people remain inactive and do not start following interventions. There is an urgent need to develop innovative programs and policies to encourage PA among all age and sex groups.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesFinancial StressCost of IllnessHumansMaleSaudi Arabia

Identifiers

PMID38598509
PMCPMC11006127

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.