Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38591650›Full record

SynthesisAnnals of clinical and translational neurology2024

Predicting outcome in disorders of consciousness: A mega-analysis.

Yuri G Pavlov, Franziska Spiegelsberger, Boris Kotchoubey

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Annals of clinical and translational neurology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Participatory Development of an International Information Brochure on the Multimodal Assessment of Disorders of Consciousness.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Yuri G PavlovInstitute of Medical Psychology and Behavioral Neurobiology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, 72076, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3896-5145
Franziska SpiegelsbergerInstitute of Medical Psychology and Behavioral Neurobiology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, 72076, Germany.
Boris KotchoubeyInstitute of Medical Psychology and Behavioral Neurobiology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, 72076, Germany.

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft KO1753/13-4
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAssessing recovery potential in patients with disorders of consciousness (DoC) is pivotal for guiding clinical and ethical decisions. We conducted a mega-analysis of individual patient data to understand (1) if a time threshold exists, beyond which regaining consciousness is almost impossible, and (2) how recovery varies based on factors such as diagnosis, etiology, age, sex, and neuropsychological status.

methodsA systematic literature search revealed a total of 3290 patients. In this sample, we performed a Cox proportional hazards analysis for interval censored data.

resultsWe observed a late saturation of probability to regain consciousness in Kaplan-Meier curves, and the annual rate of recovery was remarkably stable, in that approximately 35% of patients regained consciousness per year. Patients in minimally conscious state (MCS) recovered more frequently than patients in unresponsive wakefulness syndrome (UWS). No significant difference was observed between the recovery dynamics of MCS subgroups: MCS+ and MCS-. Patients with hypoxic brain lesions showed worse recovery rate than patients with traumatic brain injury and patients with vascular brain lesions, while the latter two categories did not differ from each other. Male patients had moderately better chance to regain consciousness. While younger UWS patients recovered more frequently than older patients, it was not the case in MCS.

interpretationOur findings highlight the necessity for neurologists to exercise caution when making negative predictions in individual cases, challenge traditional beliefs regarding recovery timelines, and underscore the importance of conducting detailed and prolonged assessments to better understand recovery prospects in DoC.

Indexed as

Consciousness DisordersAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedOutcome Assessment, Health CarePersistent Vegetative StatePrognosisRecovery of Function

Identifiers

PMID38591650
PMCPMC11187962

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.