ArticleScientific reports2024
Trend and projection of non-communicable diseases risk factors in Iran from 2001 to 2030.
Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Effect of a health belief model-based educational intervention on oral-dental health behaviors in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: an experimental study.Scientific reports · 2026Trial
- Clustering patterns of behavioral and metabolic risk factors for noncommunicable diseases in Iran: findings from a national STEPS survey.Global health action · 2026Article
- Psychological distress in urban Iran: a multilevel analysis of socioeconomic position and context.BMC psychology · 2026Article
- The association of hypertension and anthropometric indices among a population of students: A cross-sectional study in an Iranian medical school.Journal of public health research · 2026Article
- Rehabilitation in Iran's Health System: A Qualitative Inquiry Into Policy Landscape and System Strengthening Pathways.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Equity in the distribution of general practitioners and specialists in Iran: a health needs-adjusted analysis using the Robin Hood index (2006-2019).Human resources for health · 2026Article
- First population-based study on non-communicable diseases and risk factors in northeastern Iran: Sabzevar cohort profile.BMJ open · 2026Article
- Challenges and opportunities in financing urban primary healthcare in Iran: pathways to universal health coverage.BMC primary care · 2026Article
- QALY losses for non-communicable diseases in Iranian adults: insights from a national cross-sectional study.Population health metrics · 2026Article
- The national and subnational trend of ischemic heart disease in Iran from 1990-2021, with projections for 2040: a modelling study.American journal of cardiovascular disease · 2026Article
- The prevalence of secondhand smoke exposure and its association with chronic diseases and metabolic abnormalities: findings from the STEPS survey 2021.Journal of diabetes and metabolic disorders · 2025Article
- Demographic and metabolic risk factors for non-communicable diseases in Iran: insights from a prospective cohort study.Journal of diabetes and metabolic disorders · 2025Article
- Association of relative fat mass with the incidence of type 2 diabetes: over a decade follow-up from the TLGS.International journal of obesity (2005) · 2025Article
- Prevalence of multimorbidity among urban-rural older adults in Mongolia: a cross-sectional study.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Beyond the Bedside: How Moral Sensitivity and Self-Efficacy Shape Person-Centered Care in Nursing.Journal of nursing management · 2025Article
- Sex disparity in the burden of NCDs and its four main subgroups in Iran 1990-2019: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019.Journal of diabetes and metabolic disorders · 2024Article
- Predictors of self-care behaviors in hypertensive patients based on the protection motivation theory.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Risk factors for non-communicable diseases in Afghanistan: insights of the nationwide population-based survey in 2018.Journal of health, population, and nutrition · 2024Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
This study aims to investigate the trends and project the major risk factors of Non-communicable Diseases (NCDs) in Iran. We obtained the trend of prevalence of main risk factors related to NCDs in 30 to 70-year-old-individuals. The data were extracted from WHO STEP wise approach to NCDs risk factor surveillance (STEPS) survey. Also,the previous studies conducted at national and subnational levels from 2001 to 2016 were employed. The prevalence of risk factors was projected by 2030 using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) and Spatio-temporal model stratified by sex and province. The percent change for the age-standardized prevalence of smoking in men between 2001 and 2016 was calculated to be - 27.0. Also, the corresponding values for the risk factors of diabetes, hypertension, obesity and overweight, physical inactivity (PI), and mean of salt intake were - 26.1, 29.0, 70.0, 96.8, 116.6, and 7.5, respectively. It is predicted that smoking and these risk factors will undergo a change to show values of - 1.26, 38.7, 43.7, 2.36, and 15.3 by 2030, respectively. The corresponding values in women for the time interval of 2001-2016 were - 27.3, 26.3, 82.8, 1.88, 75.2, and 4.2, respectively. Plus, projections indicate that the 2030 variation values are expected to be - 25.0, 16.7, 37.5, 28.7, 26.7, and 10.9 respectively. This study showed that the prevalence of four risk factors of PI, overweight and obesity, hypertension, and diabetes is increasing in Iran. Therefor, it is necessary to carry out effective interventions to adopt a healthy lifestyle and reduce the risk factors.
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