Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38582778›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

The new record of drought and warmth in the Amazon in 2023 related to regional and global climatic features.

Jhan-Carlo Espinoza, Juan Carlos Jimenez, José Antonio Marengo, Jochen Schongart, Josyane Ronchail, Waldo Lavado-Casimiro, João Vitor M Ribeiro

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
39.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 141 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. River transport of cattle in northern Brazil - a systematic review.Tropical animal health and production · 2026
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  11. Unprecedented Amazonian rainforests damage during the 2023-2024 droughts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  17. Ionoregulatory and hematological parameters of Triportheus albus populations living in natural white- and blackwaters of the Amazon.Journal of comparative physiology. B, Biochemical, systemic, and environmental physiology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Jhan-Carlo EspinozaInstitut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, IRD, CNRS, Université Grenoble Alpes, 70 Rue de La Physique, Bat. OSUG- B. Domaine Universitaire, 38400, Saint Martin d'Hères, France. jhan-carlo.espinoza@ird.fr.
Juan Carlos JimenezGlobal Change Unit (GCU) of the Image Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València Estudi General (UVEG), C/ Catedrático José Beltrán 2, 46980, Paterna, Valencia, Spain.
José Antonio MarengoNational Centre for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters CEMADEN, Estrada Doutor Altino Bondesan, 500 - Distrito de Eugênio de Melo, São José dos Campos, SP, CEP:12.247-060, Brazil.
Jochen SchongartDepartment of Environmental Dynamics, National Institute for Amazon Research (INPA), 2936, Av. André Araújo, Manaus, Amazonas, 69067375, Brazil.
Josyane RonchailLaboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat, LOCEAN-IPSL, IRD, CNRS, MNHN, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.
Waldo Lavado-CasimiroServicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología (SENAMHI), Lima, Peru.
João Vitor M RibeiroInstitute of Science and Technology, São Paulo State University, UNESP, São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil.
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) · BRNational Institute of Amazonian Research · BRParc Científic de la Universitat de València · ESServicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú · PE

Funding

AMANECER-MOPGA project funded by ANR and IRD ANR-18-MPGA-0008Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico 301397/2019-8Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) 2014/50848-9Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) 2017/09659-6National Coordination for High Level Education and Training (CAPES) 88887.136402/2017-00The Brazilian National Institute of Science and Technology for Climate Change Phase 2 under CNPq 465501/2014-1Water Cycle and Climate Change project CECC; IRD/AFD
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2023 Amazonia experienced both historical drought and warm conditions. On October 26th 2023 the water levels at the port of Manaus reached its lowest record since 1902 (12.70 m). In this region, October monthly maximum and minimum temperature anomalies also surpassed previous record values registered in 2015 (+ 3 °C above the normal considering the 1981-2020 average). Here we show that this historical dry and warm situation in Amazonia is associated with two main atmospheric mechanisms: (i) the November 2022-February 2023 southern anomaly of vertical integrated moisture flux (VIMF), related to VIMF divergence and extreme rainfall deficit over southwestern Amazonia, and (ii) the June-August 2023 downward motion over northern Amazonia related to extreme rainfall deficit and warm conditions over this region. Anomalies of both atmospheric mechanisms reached record values during this event. The first mechanism is significantly correlated to negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the equatorial Pacific (November-February La Niña events). The second mechanism is significantly correlated to positive SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific, related to the impacts of June-September El Niño on the Walker Circulation. While previous extreme droughts were linked to El Niño (warmer North Tropical Atlantic SST) during the austral summer (winter and spring), the transition from La Niña 2022-23 to El Niño 2023 appears to be a key climatic driver in this record-breaking dry and warm situation, combined to a widespread anomalous warming over the worldwide ocean.

Identifiers

PMID38582778
PMCPMC10998876
OpenAlexW4394010622

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.