Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38581617›Full record

ArticleUnited European gastroenterology journal2024

Exploring the association between acute pancreatitis and biliary tract cancer: A large-scale population-based matched cohort study.

Daniel Selin, John Maret-Ouda, Viktor Oskarsson, Mats Lindblad, Urban Arnelo, Marcus Holmberg, Bei Yang, Kristiana Sema, Magnus Nilsson, Omid Sadr-Azodi

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in United European gastroenterology journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Daniel SelinDepartment of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-9969-1643
John Maret-OudaCentre for Clinical Research Sörmland, Uppsala University, Eskilstuna, Sweden.
Viktor OskarssonDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Piteå Research Unit, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Mats LindbladDepartment of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Urban ArneloDepartment of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Marcus HolmbergDepartment of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7217-4240
Bei YangCentre for Clinical Research Sörmland, Uppsala University, Eskilstuna, Sweden.
Kristiana SemaDepartment of Surgery, Eskilstuna County Hospital, Eskilstuna, Sweden.
Magnus NilssonDepartment of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Omid Sadr-AzodiDepartment of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Uppsala University · SEKarolinska Institutet · SEEskilstuna Municipality · SEKarolinska University Hospital · SEUmeå University · SE

Funding

Centre for Clinical Research Sörmland, Uppsala University, Sweden DLL-941252Stockholm Research Council, Sweden FoUI-961115
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBiliary tract cancer (BTC) often goes undetected until its advanced stages, resulting in a poor prognosis. Given the anatomical closeness of the gallbladder and bile ducts to the pancreas, the inflammatory processes triggered by acute pancreatitis might increase the risk of BTC.

objectiveTo assess the association between acute pancreatitis and the risk of BTC.

methodsUsing the Swedish Pancreatitis Cohort (SwePan), we compared the BTC risk in patients with a first-time episode of acute pancreatitis during 1990-2018 to a 1:10 matched pancreatitis-free control group. Multivariable Cox regression models, stratified by follow-up duration, were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs), adjusting for socioeconomic factors, alcohol use, and comorbidities.

resultsBTC developed in 0.94% of 85,027 acute pancreatitis patients and in 0.23% of 814,993 controls. The BTC risk notably increased within 3 months of hospital discharge (HR 82.63; 95% CI: 63.07-108.26) and remained elevated beyond 10 years of follow-up (HR 1.82; 95% CI: 1.35-2.47). However, the long-term risk of BTC subtypes did not increase with anatomical proximity to the pancreas, with a null association for gallbladder and extrahepatic tumors. Importantly, patients with acute pancreatitis had a higher occurrence of early-stage BTC within 2 years of hospital discharge than controls (13.0 vs. 3.6%; p-value <0.01).

conclusionOur nationwide study found an elevated BTC risk in acute pancreatitis patients; however, the risk estimates for BTC subtypes were inconsistent, thereby questioning the causality of the association. Importantly, the amplified detection of early-stage BTC within 2 years after a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis underscores the necessity for proactive BTC surveillance in these patients.

Indexed as

Biliary Tract NeoplasmsPancreatitisAcute DiseaseAdultAgedCase-Control StudiesCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsSwedenacute pancreatitisbiliary tract cancercholangiocarcinomaepidemiologylong‐term outcomepopulation‐based

Identifiers

PMID38581617
PMCPMC11250377
OpenAlexW4394014419

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.