Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38563652›Full record

SynthesisOphthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists)2024

Factors associated with pathologic myopia onset and progression: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Fabian Yii, Linda Nguyen, Niall Strang, Miguel O Bernabeu, Andrew J Tatham, Tom MacGillivray, Baljean Dhillon

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Epidemiology of pathologic myopia in UK adults with high myopia.The British journal of ophthalmology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Fabian YiiCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4730-7363
Linda NguyenMRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Niall StrangDepartment of Vision Sciences, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, UK.
Miguel O BernabeuCentre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Andrew J TathamCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Tom MacGillivrayCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Baljean DhillonCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/N013166/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo synthesise evidence across studies on factors associated with pathologic myopia (PM) onset and progression based on the META-analysis for Pathologic Myopia (META-PM) classification framework.

methodsFindings from six longitudinal studies (5-18 years) were narratively synthesised and meta-analysed, using odds ratio (OR) as the common measure of association. All studies adjusted for baseline myopia, age and sex at a minimum. The quality of evidence was rated using the Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework.

resultsFive out of six studies were conducted in Asia. There was inconclusive evidence of an independent effect (or lack thereof) of ethnicity and sex on PM onset/progression. The odds of PM onset increased with greater axial length (pooled OR: 2.03; 95% CI: 1.71-2.40; p < 0.001), older age (pooled OR: 1.07; 1.05-1.09; p < 0.001) and more negative spherical equivalent refraction, SER (OR: 0.77; 0.68-0.87; p < 0.001), all of which were supported by an acceptable level of evidence. Fundus tessellation was found to independently increase the odds of PM onset in a population-based study (OR: 3.02; 2.58-3.53; p < 0.001), although this was only supported by weak evidence. There was acceptable evidence that greater axial length (pooled OR: 1.23; 1.09-1.39; p < 0.001), more negative SER (pooled OR: 0.87; 0.83-0.92; p < 0.001) and higher education level (pooled OR: 3.17; 1.36-7.35; p < 0.01) increased the odds of PM progression. Other baseline factors found to be associated with PM progression but currently supported by weak evidence included age (pooled OR: 1.01), severity of myopic maculopathy (OR: 3.61), intraocular pressure (OR: 1.62) and hypertension (OR: 0.21).

conclusionsMost PM risk/prognostic factors are not supported by an adequate evidence base at present (an indication that PM remains understudied). Current factors for which an acceptable level of evidence exists (limited in number) are unmodifiable in adults and lack personalised information. More longitudinal studies focusing on uncovering modifiable factors and imaging biomarkers are warranted.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionMyopia, DegenerativeHumansRefraction, OcularRisk FactorsepidemiologylongitudinalMETA‐PMpathologic myopiaprognostic factorsrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID38563652
PMCPMC12862026

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.