Plasticity-led and mutation-led evolutions are different modes of the same developmental gene regulatory network.

The standard theory of evolution proposes that mutations cause heritable variations, which are naturally selected, leading to evolution. However, this mutation-led evolution (MLE) is being questioned by an alternative theory called plasticity-led evolution (PLE). PLE suggests that an environmental change induces adaptive phenotypes, which are later genetically accommodated. According to PLE, developmental systems should be able to respond to environmental changes adaptively. However, developmental systems are known to be robust against environmental and mutational perturbations. Thus, we expect a transition from a robust state to a plastic one. To test this hypothesis, we constructed a gene regulatory network (GRN) model that integrates developmental processes, hierarchical regulation, and environmental cues. We then simulated its evolution over different magnitudes of environmental changes. Our findings indicate that this GRN model exhibits PLE under large environmental changes and MLE under small environmental changes. Furthermore, we observed that the GRN model is susceptible to environmental or genetic fluctuations under large environmental changes but is robust under small environmental changes. This indicates a breakdown of robustness due to large environmental changes. Before the breakdown of robustness, the distribution of phenotypes is biased and aligned to the environmental changes, which would facilitate rapid adaptation should a large environmental change occur. These observations suggest that the evolutionary transition from mutation-led to plasticity-led evolution is due to a developmental transition from robust to susceptible regimes over increasing magnitudes of environmental change. Thus, the GRN model can reconcile these conflicting theories of evolution.