Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38558949›Full record

ArticlePrecision clinical medicine2024

Accurate prediction of myopic progression and high myopia by machine learning.

Jiahui Li, Simiao Zeng, Zhihuan Li, Jie Xu, Zhuo Sun, Jing Zhao, Meiyan Li, Zixing Zou, Taihua Guan, Jin Zeng and 10 more

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Precision clinical medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.8field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Polygenic Risk Scores for Myopia: A Systematic Review of Predictive Performance and Clinical Potential.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
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  16. Artificial intelligence in ophthalmology: opportunities, challenges, and ethical considerations.Medical hypothesis, discovery & innovation ophthalmology journal · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Jiahui LiGuangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou 510120, China.
Simiao ZengGuangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou 510120, China.
Zhihuan LiZhuhai International Eye Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Faculty of Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519000, China.
Jie XuBeijing Institute of Ophthalmology, Beijing Tongren Eye Center, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100069, China.
Zhuo SunGuangzhou National Laboratory, Guangzhou 510000, China.
Jing ZhaoKey Laboratory of Myopia, Ministry of Health, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Visual Impairment and Restoration, Department of Ophthalmology, Eye Institute, Eye and Ear, Nose, and Throat Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200031, China.
Meiyan LiKey Laboratory of Myopia, Ministry of Health, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Visual Impairment and Restoration, Department of Ophthalmology, Eye Institute, Eye and Ear, Nose, and Throat Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200031, China.
Zixing ZouGuangzhou National Laboratory, Guangzhou 510000, China.
Taihua GuanGuangzhou National Laboratory, Guangzhou 510000, China.
Jin ZengGuangzhou National Laboratory, Guangzhou 510000, China.
Zhuang LiuZhuhai International Eye Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Faculty of Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519000, China.
Wenchao XiaoZhuhai International Eye Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Faculty of Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519000, China.
Ran WeiZhuhai International Eye Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Faculty of Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519000, China.
Hanpei MiaoGuangzhou National Laboratory, Guangzhou 510000, China.
Ian ZiyarZhuhai International Eye Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Faculty of Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519000, China.
Junxiong HuangZhuhai International Eye Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Faculty of Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519000, China.
Yuanxu GaoZhuhai International Eye Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Faculty of Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519000, China.
Yangfa ZengState Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Xing-Tao ZhouKey Laboratory of Myopia, Ministry of Health, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Visual Impairment and Restoration, Department of Ophthalmology, Eye Institute, Eye and Ear, Nose, and Throat Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200031, China.
Kang ZhangGuangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou 510120, China.
Macau University of Science and Technology · MOFudan University · CNGuangzhou Medical University · CNCapital Medical University · CNSouthern Medical University · CNSun Yat-sen University · CNWenzhou Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Myopia is a leading cause of visual impairment in Asia and worldwide. However, accurately predicting the progression of myopia and the high risk of myopia remains a challenge. This study aims to develop a predictive model for the development of myopia. Methods: We first retrospectively gathered 612 530 medical records from five independent cohorts, encompassing 227 543 patients ranging from infants to young adults. Subsequently, we developed a multivariate linear regression algorithm model to predict the progression of myopia and the risk of high myopia. Result: The model to predict the progression of myopia achieved an R Conclusion: Our study demonstrates accurate prediction of myopia progression and risk of high myopia providing valuable insights for tailoring strategies to personalize and optimize the clinical management of myopia in children.

Indexed as

machine learningmyopiaprecision medicinepreventionprogression

Identifiers

PMID38558949
PMCPMC10981449
OpenAlexW4392462037

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.