Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38558299›Full record

Trial reportCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2024

Joint modeling of tumor dynamics and progression-free survival in advanced breast cancer: Leveraging data from amcenestrant early phase I-II trials.

Marc Cerou, Hoai-Thu Thai, Laure Deyme, Sophie Fliscounakis-Huynh, Emmanuelle Comets, Patrick Cohen, Sylvaine Cartot-Cotton, Christine Veyrat-Follet

Open access · goldAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase II
In one paragraph

Trial report in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Marc CerouData and Data Science, Translational Disease Modeling Oncology, Sanofi R&D, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0001-6792-2526
Hoai-Thu ThaiData and Data Science, Translational Disease Modeling Oncology, Sanofi R&D, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5239-6399
Laure DeymeTranslational Medicine & Early Development, Modeling & Simulation, Sanofi R&D, Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5986-4765
Sophie Fliscounakis-HuynhITM STAT, Neuilly sur Seine, France.
Emmanuelle CometsIAME, Inserm, Université Paris Cité, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-9150-9886
Patrick CohenOncology Development, Sanofi R&D, Vitry-sur-Seine, France.ORCID 0009-0008-1187-1123
Sylvaine Cartot-CottonPharmacokinetics Dynamics and Metabolism, Translational Medicine & Early Development, Sanofi R&D, Chilly Mazarin, France.
Christine Veyrat-FolletData and Data Science, Translational Disease Modeling Oncology, Sanofi R&D, Paris, France.ORCID 0009-0000-9865-8959
Sanofi (France) · FRInserm · FRTechnologie Médicale (France) · FR

Funding

Sanofi
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A joint modeling framework was developed using data from 75 patients of early amcenestrant phase I-II AMEERA-1-2 dose escalation and expansion cohorts. A semi-mechanistic tumor growth inhibition (TGI) model was developed. It accounts for the dynamics of sensitive and resistant tumor cells, an exposure-driven effect on tumor proliferation of sensitive cells, and a delay in the initiation of treatment effect to describe the time course of target lesion tumor size (TS) data. Individual treatment exposure overtime was introduced in the model using concentrations predicted by a population pharmacokinetic model of amcenestrant. This joint modeling framework integrated complex RECISTv1.1 criteria information, linked TS metrics to progression-free survival (PFS), and was externally evaluated using the randomized phase II trial AMEERA-3. We demonstrated that the instantaneous rate of change in TS (TS slope) was an important predictor of PFS and the developed joint model was able to predict well the PFS of amcenestrant phase II monotherapy trial using only early phase I-II data. This provides a good modeling and simulation tool to inform early development decisions.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsProgression-Free SurvivalAntineoplastic AgentsClinical Trials, Phase I as TopicClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicFemaleHumansMiddle AgedModels, BiologicalAntineoplastic Agents

Identifiers

PMID38558299
PMCPMC11179707
OpenAlexW4393382405

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.