Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38557573›Full record

ArticleJournal of water and health2024

Applying a Digital Twin and wastewater analysis for robust validation of COVID-19 pandemic forecasts: insights from Catalonia.

Pau Fonseca I Casas, Joan Garcia I Subirana, Lluís Corominas, Lluís Maria Bosch

Open access · diamondAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of water and health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Pau Fonseca I CasasUniversitat Politècncia de Catalunya - Barcelona Tech, Barcelona, Catalunya 08034, Spain E-mail: pau@fib.upc.edu.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6747-9736
Joan Garcia I SubiranaUniversitat Politècncia de Catalunya - Barcelona Tech, Barcelona, Catalunya 08034, Spain.
Lluís CorominasCatalan Institute for Water Research (ICRA).
Lluís Maria BoschCatalan Institute for Water Research (ICRA).
Catalan Institute for Water Research · ESUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Monitoring SARS-CoV-2 spread is challenging due to asymptomatic infections, numerous variants, and population behavior changes from non-pharmaceutical interventions. We developed a Digital Twin model to simulate SARS-CoV-2 evolution in Catalonia. Continuous validation ensures our model's accuracy. Our system uses Catalonia Health Service data to quantify cases, hospitalizations, and healthcare impact. These data may be under-reported due to screening policy changes. To improve our model's reliability, we incorporate data from the Catalan Surveillance Network of SARS-CoV-2 in Sewage (SARSAIGUA). This paper shows how we use sewage data in the Digital Twin validation process to identify discrepancies between model predictions and real-time data. This continuous validation approach enables us to generate long-term forecasts, gain insights into SARS-CoV-2 spread, reassess assumptions, and enhance our understanding of the pandemic's behavior in Catalonia.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansPandemicsReproducibility of ResultsSARS-CoV-2SewageSpainWastewaterSewageWastewaterSARS-CoV-2simulationsystem validationviruseswastewater

Identifiers

PMID38557573
OpenAlexW4391692329

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.