Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38555102›Full record

ArticleBMJ open respiratory research2024

Elucidating the risk of cardiopulmonary consequences of an exacerbation of COPD: results of the EXACOS-CV study in Germany.

Claus F Vogelmeier, Kirsty Rhodes, Edeltraut Garbe, Melanie Abram, Marija Halbach, Hana Müllerová, Nils Kossack, Patrick Timpel, Nikolaus Kolb, Clementine Nordon

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open respiratory research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Optimizing COPD Care in Belgium: A Multidisciplinary Expert Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Risk Management.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Claus F VogelmeierPulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, German Center for Lung Research (DZL), Marburg, Germany.
Kirsty RhodesBioPharmaceuticals Medical, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Edeltraut GarbeDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology - BIPS, Bremen, Germany.
Melanie AbramAstraZeneca GmbH, Hamburg, Germany.
Marija HalbachAstraZeneca GmbH, Hamburg, Germany.
Hana MüllerováBioPharmaceuticals Medical, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Nils KossackWIG2 GmbH Scientific Institute for Health Economics and Health System Research, Leipzig, Germany.
Patrick TimpelWIG2 GmbH Scientific Institute for Health Economics and Health System Research, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5158-0178
Nikolaus KolbZEG - Berlin Center for Epidemiology and Health Research GmbH, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-8733-0821
Clementine NordonBioPharmaceuticals Medical, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK clementine.nordon@astrazeneca.com.
AstraZeneca (United Kingdom) · GBAstraZeneca (Germany) · DEBerlin Center for Epidemiology and Health Research · DEGerman Center for Lung Research · DELeibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology - BIPS · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) represent a period of vulnerability. This study explored the association between time periods following an exacerbation and the risk of severe cardiovascular (CV) events or death in Germany.

methodsA longitudinal cohort study was conducted using routinely collected healthcare data. Individuals with COPD were identified between 2014 and 2018. Exposure was moderate or severe exacerbation of COPD. Periods at risk were the 1-7, 8-14, 15-30, 31-180 and 181-365 days following each exacerbation onset occurring after cohort entry. The main outcome of interest was the first hospitalisation for a CV event or all-cause death. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models estimated the HR for the association between subperiods versus periods outside exacerbations, and the risk of outcome.

resultsAmong 126 795 patients, 58 720 (46.3%) exacerbated at least once and 48 982 (38.6%) experienced at least one CV event or died during a median follow-up of 36 months. The rate of outcome was increased during 1-7 days following a severe exacerbation onset (HR 15.84, 95% CI 15.26 to 16.45), and remained elevated for up to a year (181-365 days HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.23). In the 1-7 days following a moderate exacerbation onset, the increased rate was HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.31).

conclusionThe risk of a CV event or death increased in time periods following both moderate and severe exacerbations of COPD, emphasising the need to promptly manage the risk of CV events following the onset of an exacerbation, to prevent exacerbations of any severity, and more generally, to address the cardiopulmonary risk in patients with COPD.

Indexed as

Pulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveCohort StudiesGermanyHumansLongitudinal StudiesCOPD epidemiologyCOPD Exacerbations

Identifiers

PMID38555102
PMCPMC10982767
OpenAlexW4393341787

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.