Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38552023›Full record

ArticleScience advances2024

Anthropogenic forcing has increased the risk of longer-traveling and slower-moving large contiguous heatwaves.

Ming Luo, Sijia Wu, Gabriel Ngar-Cheung Lau, Tao Pei, Zhen Liu, Xiaoyu Wang, Guicai Ning, Ting On Chan, Yuanjian Yang, Wei Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ming LuoGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-simulation, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5474-3892
Sijia WuGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-simulation, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China.
Gabriel Ngar-Cheung LauProgram in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540-6654, USA.
Tao PeiState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5311-8761
Zhen LiuEarth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences (EOAS) Thrust, Function Hub, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou), Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9197-0229
Xiaoyu WangGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-simulation, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China.
Guicai NingSchool of Atmospheric Physics, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China.
Ting On ChanGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-simulation, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3318-7540
Yuanjian YangSchool of Atmospheric Physics, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3486-6286
Wei ZhangDepartment of Plants, Soils, and Climate, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322-4820, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8134-6908

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Heatwaves are consecutive hot days with devastating impacts on human health and the environment. These events may evolve across both space and time, characterizing a spatiotemporally contiguous propagation pattern that has not been fully understood. Here, we track the spatiotemporally contiguous heatwaves in both reanalysis datasets and model simulations and examine their moving patterns (i.e., moving distance, speed, and direction) in different continents and periods. Substantial changes in contiguous heatwaves have been identified from 1979 to 2020, with longer persistence, longer traveling distance, and slower propagation. These changes have been amplified since 1997, probably due to the weakening of eddy kinetic energy, zonal wind, and anthropogenic forcing. The results suggest that longer-lived, longer-traveling, and slower-moving contiguous heatwaves will cause more devastating impacts on human health and the environment in the future if greenhouse gas emissions keep rising and no effective measures are taken immediately. Our findings provide important implications for the adaption and mitigation of globally connected extreme heatwaves.

Identifiers

PMID38552023
PMCPMC10980275

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.