Machine learning model based on enhanced CT radiomics for the preoperative prediction of lymphovascular invasion in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Objective: To evaluate the value of a machine learning model using enhanced CT radiomics features in the prediction of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) before treatment. Methods: We reviewed and analyzed the enhanced CT images of 258 ESCC patients from June 2017 to December 2019. We randomly assigned the patients in a ratio of 7:3 to a training set (182 cases) and a validation (76 cases) set. Clinical risk factors and CT image characteristics were recorded, and multifactor logistic regression was used to screen independent risk factors of LVI of ESCC patients. We extracted the CT radiomics features using the FAE software and screened radiomics features using maximum relevance and minimum redundancy (MRMR) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithms, and finally, the radiomics labels of each patient were established. Five machine learning algorithms, namely, support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), logistic regression (LR), Gauss naive Bayes (GNB), and multilayer perceptron (MLP), were used to construct the model of radiomics labels, and its clinical features were screened. The predictive efficacy of the machine learning model for LVI of ESCC was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: Tumor thickness [OR = 1.189, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.060-1.351, Conclusion: Machine learning models can preoperatively predict the condition of LVI effectively in patients with ESCC based on enhanced CT radiomics features. The GNB and LR models exhibit good stability and may bring a new way for the non-invasive prediction of LVI condition in ESCC patients before treatment.