Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38547498›Full record

ArticleJournal of global health2024

Changes in the global epidemiological characteristics of cystic echinococcosis over the past 30 years and projections for the next decade: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Zurong Yang, Kun Liu, Bo Wen, Ting Fu, Xiaoang Qin, Rui Li, Mengwei Lu, Yuhua Wang, Wenkai Zhang, Zhongjun Shao and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of global health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Five-Year Slaughterhouse-Based Surveillance ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Zurong Yang *Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Kun Liu *Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Bo WenDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Ting FuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Xiaoang QinDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Rui LiDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Mengwei LuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Yuhua WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Wenkai ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Zhongjun ShaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Yong LongDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Despite ongoing changes in the global epidemiology of cystic echinococcosis (CE), there is a lack of research conducted to date. Methods: We extracted data on incidence and disability-adjusted life years for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 to evaluate the epidemiological characteristics and burden of CE through the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. We used locally weighted linear regression to analyse the primary driving factors of the prevalence of CE at the national and regional levels and utilised a Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model to forecast the global incidence of CE in the next decade. Results: Globally, the incidence of CE remained constantly high from 1990 (2.65 per 100 000 population) to 2019 (2.60 per 100 000 population), resulting in an estimated 207 368 new cases in 2019. We observed substantial variations in the disease burden regarding its spatiotemporal distribution, population demographics, and Socio-Demographic Index levels. According to established models, factors such as health care capacity, livestock husbandry, agricultural activities, rural populations, and education levels are likely to play significant roles in determining the prevalence of CE across different countries. By 2030, the worldwide number of CE cases could reach as high as 235 628, representing an increase of 13.63% compared to 2019. Conclusions: Over the past three decades, the global burden of CE has persistently remained high, especially in Central Asia, as well as North Africa and the Middle East. Efforts should focus on more effective prevention and control measures in these key regions and should specifically target vulnerable populations to prevent the escalation of epidemics.

Indexed as

EchinococcosisGlobal Burden of DiseaseBayes TheoremGlobal HealthHumansIncidencePrevalenceRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID38547498
PMCPMC10978057

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.