Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38543948›Full record

ArticleVaccines2024

Estimating the Impact of Vaccination Campaigns on Measles Transmission in Somalia.

Niket Thakkar, Ali Haji Adam Abubakar, Mukhtar Shube, Mustafe Awil Jama, Mohamed Derow, Philipp Lambach, Hossam Ashmony, Muhammad Farid, So Yoon Sim, Patrick O'Connor and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccines, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Niket ThakkarInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA 98109, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5260-3928
Ali Haji Adam AbubakarFederal Ministry of Health, Mogadishu P.O. Box 22, Somalia.
Mukhtar ShubeFederal Ministry of Health, Mogadishu P.O. Box 22, Somalia.
Mustafe Awil JamaFederal Ministry of Health, Mogadishu P.O. Box 22, Somalia.
Mohamed DerowFederal Ministry of Health, Mogadishu P.O. Box 22, Somalia.
Philipp LambachWorld Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-0105-8899
Hossam AshmonyWorld Health Organization, Mogadishu 63565, Somalia.
Muhammad FaridWorld Health Organization, Mogadishu 63565, Somalia.
So Yoon SimWorld Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.
Patrick O'ConnorWorld Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.
Anna MintaWorld Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.
Anindya Sekhar BoseWorld Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.
Patience MusanhuGavi, The Vaccine Alliance, 1218 Geneva, Switzerland.
Quamrul HasanWorld Health Organization, Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo 11371, Egypt.
Naor Bar-ZeevWorld Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.
Sk Md Mamunur Rahman MalikWorld Health Organization, Mogadishu 63565, Somalia.ORCID 0000-0002-4691-492X

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Somalia is a complex and fragile setting with a demonstrated potential for disruptive, high-burden measles outbreaks. In response, since 2018, Somalian authorities have partnered with UNICEF and the WHO to implement measles vaccination campaigns across the country. In this paper, we create a Somalia-specific model of measles transmission based on a comprehensive epidemiological dataset including case-based surveillance, vaccine registries, and serological surveys. We use this model to assess the impact of these campaign interventions on Somalian's measles susceptibility, showing, for example, that across the roughly 10 million doses delivered, 1 of every 5 immunized a susceptible child. Finally, we use the model to explore a counter-factual epidemiology without the 2019-2020 campaigns, and we estimate that those interventions prevented over 10,000 deaths.

Indexed as

measlesserologySomaliatransmission modelvaccination campaign

Identifiers

PMID38543948
PMCPMC10974214

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.