Performance Evaluation of Hospitals under Data Uncertainty: An Uncertain Common-Weights Data Envelopment Analysis.

In the context of healthcare systems, the performance evaluation of hospitals plays a crucial role in assessing the quality of healthcare systems and facilitating informed decision-making processes. However, the presence of data uncertainty poses significant challenges to accurate performance measurement. This paper presents a novel uncertain common-weights data envelopment analysis (UCWDEA) approach for evaluating the performance of hospitals under uncertain environments. The proposed UCWDEA approach addresses the limitations of traditional data envelopment analysis (DEA) models by incorporating the uncertainty theory (UT) to model the inherent uncertainty in input and output data. Also, by utilizing a common set of weights (CSW) technique, the UCWDEA method provides a more robust and reliable assessment of hospital performance. The main advantages of the proposed UCWDEA approach can be succinctly summarized as follows. Firstly, it allows for the comparison of all hospitals on a consistent basis to calculate a realistic efficiency score, rather than an overly optimistic efficiency score. Secondly, the uncertain common-weights DEA approach exhibits linearity, enhancing its applicability. Thirdly, it possesses the capability to extend its utility under various other prevalent uncertainty distributions. Moreover, it enhances the discriminatory power of results, facilitates the ranking of hospitals in the presence of data uncertainty, and aids in identifying the sensitivity and stability levels of hospitals towards data uncertainty. Notably, in order to showcase the pragmatic application and efficacy of the uncertain common-weights DEA model, a genuine dataset has been utilized to evaluate the efficiency of 20 public hospitals in Tehran, all of which are affiliated with the Iran University of Medical Sciences. The results of the experiment demonstrate the efficacy of the UCWDEA approach in assessing and ranking hospitals amidst uncertain conditions. In summary, the research outcomes can offer policymakers valuable insights regarding hospital performance amidst data uncertainty. Additionally, it can provide practical recommendations on optimizing resource allocation, benchmarking performance, and formulating effective policies to augment the overall efficiency and effectiveness of healthcare services.