Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38537159›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology2024

Pack-Year Smoking History: An Inadequate and Biased Measure to Determine Lung Cancer Screening Eligibility.

Alexandra L Potter, Nuo N Xu, Priyanka Senthil, Deepti Srinivasan, Hang Lee, G Scott Gazelle, Lydia Chelala, Wei Zheng, Florian J Fintelmann, Lecia V Sequist and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  7. Improving lung cancer screening diagnostic efficiency.Current opinion in pulmonary medicine · 2026
    Review
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  16. Addressing algorithmic bias in lung cancer screening eligibility.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2026
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  18. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Alexandra L PotterDivision of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
Nuo N XuSlone Epidemiology Center at Boston University, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-7429-701X
Priyanka SenthilDivision of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-7335-5708
Deepti SrinivasanDivision of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
Hang LeeBiostatistics Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
G Scott GazelleDepartment of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
Lydia ChelalaDepartment of Radiology, University of Chicago Pritzker School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.ORCID 0000-0002-6295-6150
Wei ZhengDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Nashville, TN.ORCID 0000-0003-1226-070X
Florian J FintelmannDepartment of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-0119-3903
Lecia V SequistMass General Cancer Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-8965-6991
Jessica DoningtonSection of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Chicago Hospital, Chicago, IL.
Julie R PalmerSlone Epidemiology Center at Boston University, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-6534-335X
Chi-Fu Jeffrey YangDivision of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-5792-3522

Funding

Tumor Immunology and Microenvironment Research ProgramP30CA068485 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Ben Ho Park · 1995 to 2026
$172.8M
A Follow-up Study for Causes of Cancer in Black WomenU01CA164974 · NCI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI Kimberly A. Bertrand, Yvette C Cozier · 2017 to 2026
$24.0M
Southern Community Cohort StudyU01CA202979 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BLOT, WILLIAM J., SHRUBSOLE, MARTHA J. · 2016 to 2025
$22.0M
Evaluating the Feasibility of Lung Cancer Screening in High-Risk Black WomenR18HS029430 · AHRQ · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI PALMER, JULIE R, YANG, CHI-FU · 2023 to 2024
$999k
AHRQ HHS R18 HS029430NCI NIH HHS P30 CA068485NCI NIH HHS U01 CA164974NCI NIH HHS U01 CA202979
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposePack-year smoking history is an imperfect and biased measure of cumulative tobacco exposure. The use of pack-year smoking history to determine lung cancer screening eligibility in the current US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) guideline may unintentionally exclude many high-risk individuals, especially those from racial and ethnic minority groups. It is unclear whether using a smoking duration cutoff instead of a smoking pack-year cutoff would improve the selection of individuals for screening.

methodsWe analyzed 49,703 individuals with a smoking history from the Southern Community Cohort Study (SCCS) and 22,126 individuals with a smoking history from the Black Women's Health Study (BWHS) to assess eligibility for screening under the USPSTF guideline versus a proposed guideline that replaces the ≥20-pack-year criterion with a ≥20-year smoking duration criterion.

resultsUnder the USPSTF guideline, only 57.6% of Black patients with lung cancer in the SCCS would have qualified for screening, whereas a significantly higher percentage of White patients with lung cancer (74.0%) would have qualified (

conclusionUse of a 20-year smoking duration cutoff instead of a 20-pack-year cutoff greatly increases the proportion of patients with lung cancer who would qualify for screening and eliminates the racial disparity in screening eligibility between Black versus White individuals; smoking duration has the added benefit of being easier to calculate and being a more precise assessment of smoking exposure compared with pack-year smoking history.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsSmokingAgedBlack or African AmericanCohort StudiesEligibility DeterminationFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedWhite People

Identifiers

PMID38537159
PMCPMC11191064

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.