Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38529016›Full record

ArticleTranslational neuroscience2024

Comparative analysis of CRASH and IMPACT in predicting the outcome of 340 patients with traumatic brain injury.

Tingting An, Zibei Dong, Xiangyang Li, Yifan Ma, Jie Jin, Liqing Li, Lanjuan Xu

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Article in Translational neuroscience, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Tingting AnDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Zhengzhou Central Hospital affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450001, China.
Zibei DongDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Zhengzhou Central Hospital affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450001, China.
Xiangyang LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Zhengzhou Central Hospital affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450001, China.
Yifan MaDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Zhengzhou Central Hospital affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450001, China.
Jie JinDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Zhengzhou Central Hospital affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450001, China.
Liqing LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Zhengzhou Central Hospital affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450001, China.
Lanjuan XuDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Zhengzhou Central Hospital affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450001, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Both the International Mission for Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials (IMPACT) and the Corticosteroid randomization after significant head injury (CRASH) models are globally acknowledged prognostic algorithms for assessing traumatic brain injury (TBI) outcomes. The aim of this study is to externalize the validation process and juxtapose the prognostic accuracy of the CRASH and IMPACT models in moderate-to-severe TBI patients in the Chinese population. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study encompassing a cohort of 340 adult TBI patients (aged > 18 years), presenting with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores ranging from 3 to 12. The data were accrued over 2 years (2020-2022). The primary endpoints were 14-day mortality rates and 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) scores. Analytical metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for discrimination and the Brier score for predictive precision were employed to quantitatively evaluate the model performance. Results: Mortality rates at the 14-day and 6-month intervals, as well as the 6-month unfavorable GOS outcomes, were established to be 22.06, 40.29, and 65.59%, respectively. The IMPACT models had area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.873, 0.912, and 0.927 for the 6-month unfavorable GOS outcomes, with respective Brier scores of 0.14, 0.12, and 0.11. On the other hand, the AUCs associated with the six-month mortality were 0.883, 0.909, and 0.912, and the corresponding Brier scores were 0.15, 0.14, and 0.13, respectively. The CRASH models exhibited AUCs of 0.862 and 0.878 for the 6-month adverse outcomes, with uniform Brier scores of 0.18. The 14-day mortality rates had AUCs of 0.867 and 0.87, and corresponding Brier scores of 0.21 and 0.22, respectively. Conclusion: Both the CRASH and IMPACT algorithms offer reliable prognostic estimations for patients suffering from craniocerebral injuries. However, compared to the CRASH model, the IMPACT model has superior predictive accuracy, albeit at the cost of increased computational intricacy.

Indexed as

IMPACTprediction model: CRASHtraumatic brain injury

Identifiers

PMID38529016
PMCPMC10961482

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