ArticleNature communications2024
Fire suppression makes wildfires more severe and accentuates impacts of climate change and fuel accumulation.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
40 citing papers in PubMed, 156 citations in OpenAlex.
- Article
- Faster, bigger, more severe: Extreme wildfire spread sets the stage for forest ecosystem change in western and boreal North America.Science advances · 2026Article
- Future Projections of Burned Area in Europe Highlight the Importance of Human Action.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Major intensification of fire weather across southern Europe in recent decades.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Prescribed fire is unlikely to reduce net PMProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Previous prescribed burns saved thousands of ancient sequoias during historically unprecedented wildfires.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Optimal interventions to curb urban conflagration.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Blazing a Trail for Fire Management and Smoke Health Collaboration: Takeaways From the 2024 Rocky Mountain Wildfire Smoke Symposium.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Egress thresholds and wildfire fatalities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- The Integration of Fire Ecology and Freshwater Ecosystems in North America: Knowledge Gaps and Research Needs.Global change biology · 2026Review
- IAM-FIRE: A Climate Emulator-Based Framework to Project Wildfire Impacts and Risks for Integrated Assessment Models.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Wildfire risk to United States cultural resources.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Climate-driven upward spread of forest fires in European mountain regions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- A weakened diurnal weather constraint leads to longer burning hours in North America.Science advances · 2026Article
- Ecological Integrity of Hybrid Ecosystems in the Anthropocene: The Impact of Self-Organization on Function and Sustainability.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Fire lines adjacent to aspen are unlikely to hold during extreme burning conditions in southern Rocky Mountain forests.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Increasing synchronicity of global extreme fire weather.Science advances · 2026Article
- Rising rates of wildfire building destruction in the conterminous United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- The role of fire on Earth.Bioscience · 2025Review
- Wildfires have created instability within risk transfer markets. Here's a path forward.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Fire suppression is the primary management response to wildfires in many areas globally. By removing less-extreme wildfires, this approach ensures that remaining wildfires burn under more extreme conditions. Here, we term this the "suppression bias" and use a simulation model to highlight how this bias fundamentally impacts wildfire activity, independent of fuel accumulation and climate change. We illustrate how attempting to suppress all wildfires necessarily means that fires will burn with more severe and less diverse ecological impacts, with burned area increasing at faster rates than expected from fuel accumulation or climate change. Over a human lifespan, the modeled impacts of the suppression bias exceed those from fuel accumulation or climate change alone, suggesting that suppression may exert a significant and underappreciated influence on patterns of fire globally. Managing wildfires to safely burn under low and moderate conditions is thus a critical tool to address the growing wildfire crisis.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.