Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38527289›Full record

ArticleAnnals of internal medicine2024

Evaluation of Strategies for Transitioning to Annual SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination Campaigns in the United States.

Chad R Wells, Abhishek Pandey, Seyed M Moghadas, Meagan C Fitzpatrick, Burton H Singer, Alison P Galvani

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of internal medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Chad R WellsCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut (C.R.W., A.P., A.P.G.).ORCID 0000-0003-1370-8350
Abhishek PandeyCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut (C.R.W., A.P., A.P.G.).ORCID 0000-0003-4578-7487
Seyed M MoghadasAgent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (S.M.M.).ORCID 0000-0003-4414-0227
Meagan C FitzpatrickCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland (M.C.F.).ORCID 0000-0002-5248-2668
Burton H SingerEmerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida (B.H.S.).
Alison P GalvaniCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut (C.R.W., A.P., A.P.G.).ORCID 0000-0002-2059-6716
Yale University · USUniversity of Florida · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USYork University · CA

Funding

Accelerating viral outbreak detection in US cities using mechanistic models, machine learning and diverse geospatial dataR01AI151176 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
Mathematical modeling to optimize rotavirus vaccination in sub-Saharan AfricaK01AI141576 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI FITZPATRICK, MEAGAN COLLEEN · 2019 to 2023
$649k
NCIRD CDC HHS U01 IP001136NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI141576NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI151176
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe U.S. Food and Drug Administration has proposed administering annual SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.

objectiveTo evaluate the effectiveness of an annual SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign, quantify the health and economic benefits of a second dose provided to children younger than 2 years and adults aged 50 years or older, and optimize the timing of a second dose.

designAn age-structured dynamic transmission model.

settingUnited States.

participantsA synthetic population reflecting demographics and contact patterns in the United States.

interventionVaccination against SARS-CoV-2 with age-specific uptake similar to that of influenza vaccination. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence, hospitalizations, deaths, and direct health care cost.

resultsThe optimal timing between the first and second dose delivered to children younger than 2 years and adults aged 50 years or older in an annual vaccination campaign was estimated to be 5 months. In direct comparison with a single-dose campaign, a second booster dose results in 123 869 fewer hospitalizations (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 121 994 to 125 742 fewer hospitalizations) and 5524 fewer deaths (95% UI, 5434 to 5613 fewer deaths), averting $3.63 billion (95% UI, $3.57 billion to $3.69 billion) in costs over a single year. LIMITATIONS: Population immunity is subject to degrees of immune evasion for emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants. The model was implemented in the absence of nonpharmaceutical interventions and preexisting vaccine-acquired immunity.

conclusionThe direct health care costs of SARS-CoV-2, particularly among adults aged 50 years or older, would be substantially reduced by administering a second dose 5 months after the initial dose. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Notsew Orm Sands Foundation, National Institutes of Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and National Science Foundation.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesHospitalizationSARS-CoV-2AdultAgedChild, PreschoolHealth Care CostsHumansImmunization ProgramsImmunization ScheduleImmunization, SecondaryInfantMiddle AgedUnited StatesCOVID-19 Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID38527289
PMCPMC12051185
OpenAlexW4393139514

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.