Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38518546›Full record

ArticleEconomics and human biology2024

"Deaths of despair" over the business cycle: New estimates from a shift-share instrumental variables approach.

Christopher Lowenstein

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Economics and human biology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Christopher LowensteinUniversity of California, Berkeley School of Public Health, Division of Health Policy and Management, 2121 Berkeley Way, Room 5302, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States. Electronic address: chris.lowenstein@stanford.edu.

Funding

TREND &STRUCTURE OF ALCOHOL DEPENDENCE--GENERAL POPULATION 1990 SURVEY DATAP50AA005595 · NIAAA · WESTERN CONSORTIUM FOR PUBLIC HEALTH · PI MULIA, NINA · 1985 to 2025
$34.1M
GRADUATE RESEARCH TRAINING ON ALCOHOL PROBLEMST32AA007240 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI William C. Kerr · 1985 to 2026
$7.5M
INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN DEMOGRAPHYT32HD007275 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI FEEHAN, DENNIS MICHAEL · 1985 to 2025
$5.3M
NIAAA NIH HHS P50 AA005595NIAAA NIH HHS T32 AA007240NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007275
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study presents new evidence of the effects of short-term economic fluctuations on suicide, fatal drug overdose, and alcohol-related mortality among working-age adults in the United States from 2003-2017. Using a shift-share instrumental variables approach, I find that a one percentage point increase in the aggregate employment rate decreases current-year non-drug suicides by 1.7 percent. These protective effects are concentrated among working-age men and likely reflect a combination of individual labor market experiences as well as the indirect effects of local economic growth. I find no consistent evidence that short-term business cycle changes affect drug or alcohol-related mortality. While the estimated protective effects are small relative to secular increases in suicide in recent decades, these findings are suggestive of important, short-term economic factors affecting specific causes of death and should be considered alongside the longer-term and multifaceted social, economic, and cultural determinants of America's "despair" epidemic.

Indexed as

AlcoholismDrug OverdoseEmploymentIndustrial DevelopmentPsychological DistressSuicideAdultFemaleHumansMaleUnited StatesYoung Adultbusiness cycledeaths of despairmortalityshift-share instrument

Identifiers

PMID38518546
PMCPMC11060774

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.